Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/26/25

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Timberwolves
10-7
Timberwolves
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Thunder
17-1
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Oklahoma City Thunder
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Timberwolves vs Thunder Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
OKC Thunder -8.5(-110)

The Minnesota Timberwolves come into this matchup in a difficult spot, continuing to show troubling trends both as underdogs and away from home. They are 0-3 ATS as underdogs this season and just 3-6 ATS on the road, a clear indicator that they struggle when playing from behind or outside their comfort zone. Minnesota’s recent play has been uneven, with defensive lapses, inconsistent shooting, and issues closing out competitive games. Even when fully healthy, the T-Wolves haven’t shown the poise needed to compete for 48 minutes against elite teams, and their road performances suggest they’re unlikely to suddenly turn things around against one of the league’s toughest opponents.

The Oklahoma City Thunder, meanwhile, continue to look every bit like a top tier contender, powered by elite efficiency on both ends. They’ve recently averaged 122.6 points per game while shooting 49% from the field, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander remains one of the NBA’s premier creators, controlling tempo and generating high quality looks for himself and teammates. OKC’s depth, defensive versatility, and strong home court play give them a significant advantage over a Minnesota team that hasn’t proven capable of keeping pace in these spots. With the Wolves consistently failing to cover as underdogs and continuing to struggle on the road, the Thunder’s matchup strengths are too difficult to ignore.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -9.

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Justin Ziolkowski

NBA and college basketball handicapper for Pickswise.
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