Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/04/26

Minnesota can score, but they’re a defensive team first. The Wolves are also one of the better teams in the league at turning games into half-court possessions. Minnesota is comfortable winning via defense and rebounding; Toronto is also comfortable winning via structure, not chaos. The Raptors also bode a top-ten scoring defense and hang their hat on contested attempts while lowering opponent field goal efficiency. All of this leans towards the under.

You don’t need a rock fight to cash in on this under, but that’s likely what we are going to see. The fact that the point spread (-1) is so tight, suggests that this will be a game of possessions. The thing is, this isn’t the Jazz playing the Bulls where it can turn into a track meet. Neither party prefers to play that style of basketball. A few stretches where defenses dictate and shots don’t fall leads to this contest being one that is low-scoring. This matchup is built to create those stretches naturally and that makes 225 beatable at the under.

Timberwolves vs Raptors prediction: Under 225 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to the number.

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