New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 01/04/26

The Miami Heat fell at the hands of the Minnesota Timberwolves last night and now find themselves on the back end of a back-to-back set as they welcome the New Orleans Pelicans. Both teams here head into the game with injuries to key cogs in their offences. The hosts look to remain without Tyler Herro and will also be missing Jaime Jaquez Jr. Both players are capable playmakers and without them, the hosts should find it harder to create. The visitors have Derik Queen and Trey Murphy III listed as questionable while Saddiq Bey and Herbert Jones both missed their last game. If they are all out, it will allow the Heat to focus in on Zion Williamson defensively.

The Pelicans are 2nd in the league in points in the paint this season but up against a frontline with the size of Bam Adebayo and Kel’el Ware, those points should be more of a struggle. Over the last 10 games the teams are 7th and 8th in pace, respectively. However, with the hosts being fatigued, do not be surprised to see them slowing the tempo down tonight. Neither team has been efficient, ranking 21st and 24th respectively in true shooting percentage during that time. As a result, with fewer possession, these sides should struggle to combine for over 243 points.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat prediction: Under 243.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to under 242.5.

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