New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds and Game 5 Picks for Today, 05/14/25
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The New York Knicks and Boston Celtics finally played out a high-scoring game in their series, with the teams combining for 234 points in Game 4. And while the main story heading into Game 5 will be the injury to Jayson Tatum, it should not result in a major drop-off in scoring. While Tatum is undoubtedly the best scorer on Boston’s roster, he is also an elite wing defender. Without his presence, the Knicks’ wings should have more success scoring the ball. Offensively, the Celtics will not have Tatum to bail them out at the end of the shot clock. Look for them to increase the pace instead, trying to create cleaner looks in transition.
The Knicks dominated the paint in Game 4 and that should continue here. Al Horford was ineffective and showed his age in the last outing. With Kristaps Porzingis not looking healthy all postseason, it is hard to see the Celtics stopping the Knicks from scoring inside. Payton Pritchard should see more minutes, which should help the hosts shoot efficiently from the perimeter, considering his lack of length to contest shots. However, he is a lethal shooter himself and should help carry some of the offensive load left by Tatum. Sam Hauser looks likely to be back too, giving them another quick-trigger shooter on the outside. The Celtics roster should be well-equipped to fire off plenty of three-point attempts here and they are capable of making enough to do their part for the Over to cash once again.
Knicks vs Celtics prediction: Over 207.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to over 209.5.
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Pickswise Expert Prop Picks
I’m perfectly happy going back to this bet. Payton Pritchard has hit this player prop in every game of this series so far and should see a usage bump with the recent injury news regarding Tatum. This season we have seen Pritchard hit this prop in 15 of 18 games without Tatum. Pritchard shoots 68% of his field-goal attempts from three-point land, meaning that this pick can very easily cash with just one made shot.
I expect Pritchard to enter this game sooner than he did in Game 4 and he could very easily see himself play 6+ minutes in the opening quarter. This game is at home, where Pritchard has better splits as well. The juice doesn’t bother me here as this is still a bet that has an 83% hit rate when Tatum doesn’t play, and I like our chances of improving my NBA player prop record on the season to 11-2.
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The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
The Knicks' last 3 road trips to the Celtics have stayed Under the total.
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