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New York Knicks

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/17/25

Kaseya CenterMSG, FDSNSU
Knicks
Knicks
Today
Heat
Heat
WWWLW
Last 5
WWWLL
8-4Record7-6
8-4-0ATS Record8-5-0
9-3O/U Record9-4
Miami Heat

Knicks vs Heat Pickswise Expert Predictions

Point Spread Pick
MIA Heat -1.5(-115)

The Knicks beat Miami by eight as a 6.5-point favorite in their last meeting, and now, just weeks later, New York walks into South Beach as a 1.5-point underdog. That flip isn’t the product of hype or reaction — it’s the market speaking directly. The Heat already beat New York earlier this season in Miami, and home-court advantage has proven meaningful in this matchup. It’s also a sharp contrast between how both teams perform in their own buildings. New York is an elite 8–1 at Madison Square Garden, but they haven’t won a single road game this year. Miami, meanwhile, plays significantly cleaner basketball at home and his 5-1 SU in their own barn.

The public will look at the previous result — Knicks by eight — and instinctively ask, “Why are they now dogs?” Because the market is correcting. Miami is healthier and far more trustworthy at home than New York is away from theirs in a game that will have an offensive connotation that also favors the hosts. This line exists for a reason, this is Miami’s spot.

Knicks vs Heat prediction: Heat -1.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -2.

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Napier Montgomery
Photo of Napier Montgomery

Napier Montgomery

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.
Read more about Napier Montgomery

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Top Trends
Game Totals

The Over is 13-7 in the Heat's last 10 home games and the Knicks' last 10 on the road combined.

Point Spread

The Heat have covered in 5 of their 7 matchups against Eastern Conference teams this season

Money Line

The Knicks' record in their last 5 games stands at 4-1.

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