Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/25/25

The defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder have stumbled a bit out of the gate, failing to cover in either of their first two games this season. Such is often the case for titleholders — they carry inflated expectations, every opponent circles them on the schedule, and motivation doesn’t always match the market price. The Thunder haven’t even managed a regulation win yet, which only adds to growing skepticism. And that’s precisely where the value starts to emerge.

Oklahoma City’s market equity has dipped. Oddsmakers have subtly adjusted, shading the number downward to account for this even if it appears otherwise. That creates a buying opportunity on a team that remains elite in talent, cohesion, and late-game execution. Atlanta, while capable and scrappy, steps into a far less favorable situation — the Thunder won’t be taking them lightly, if anything they are hungry for their first complete win that is not under scrutiny.

The narrative says “fade the champs”; the number says “buy low.” Expect Oklahoma City to come out focused and handle business in the ATL.