HomeNBANBA PredictionsOklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Odds and Picks

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/19/26

Updated: 7:22 AM ET Jan 19, 2026

Rocket ArenaNBC

Thunder

2:40 PM ETToday

Cavaliers

WWWWL	Last 5	LWLWW
35-8	Record	24-19
21-22-0	ATS Record	15-27-1
22-21	O/U Record	20-23

Vote on who will win!

Thunder vs Cavaliers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick

Under 234.5(-110)

Reasoning

Darius Garland is out, stripping shot creation and tempo from Cleveland’s guard rotation. When offensive creators are missing, we can’t always assume that “next man up” is what happens and the fireworks continue. Against a team as efficient on defense like OKC, this results in longer possessions that end in more contested attempts. That’s especially true against Oklahoma City, because it can win possessions and make you pay on the transition. The Thunder have hung their hat on being comfortable defending deep into the clock, and all of this leans toward the under.

Then there is also the location of the venue — Cleveland. We know that the Cavaliers play at a higher level on their own court, but that is no reason to assume an offensive-oriented affair. The Thunder have proven that their style of play translates and travels well. Playing a defensive-minded, offensively-responsible basketball game puts the Thunder in position to command and win on any given night. That’s why they are the defending champs. But a game with an offensive connotation is far more definite. OKC can apply its “boa constrictor” style to Cleveland’s offense and shut down the offense without having to score a tremendous amount of points, itself. It just needs smart shots that land. This is a game that the Thunder can win comfortably and still keep the number under the line.

Thunder vs Cavaliers prediction: Under 234.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Show Bio

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.

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Money Line

The Thunder have won 15 of their last 20 road games.

Game Totals

Each of the last 3 matchups between the Cavaliers and the Thunder have gone over the Total

Point Spread

The Thunder have covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games as an underdog.

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