Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/27/25

The question practically asks itself: what exactly has Dallas done to earn market respect? The Mavericks are being priced as though they’re a contender, but their results paint a far different picture. They were dismantled by Victor Wembanyama and San Antonio, losing by 30 in a game where Wemby went for 40. Then they followed it up by losing outright to Washington as significant favorites — a team most project to finish at the bottom of the league. Their lone win? A track meet against Toronto where they had to pour in nearly 140 points just to survive by 10. That’s not consistency, that’s chaos.

Oklahoma City, meanwhile, is starting to look more like the defending champions they are. After a pair of tight outings where they escaped with two overtime wins, the Thunder finally delivered a statement victory over Atlanta — a comfortable double-digit win that reminded everyone how dominant they can be when engaged. Now OKC faces a shaky Dallas squad that’s looked defensively lost, which is a nightmare matchup for the Mavs.

Dallas may have taken the last 3 meetings, but those results don’t hold much weight in the current context. The Thunder are sharper, deeper, and far more cohesive. The defensive disconnect and lack of bench stability make them vulnerable against a team that thrives on pace, ball movement, and efficiency. This line is right where it should be — shaded toward the superior team in form, talent, and wherewithal. Look for the Thunder to win this going away.