Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/02/25

The Warriors enter tonight’s matchup severely shorthanded with Stephen Curry ruled out due to a right quadriceps contusion, a major blow to their offensive structure. Without him, Golden State is just 2-3 straight up, with both wins coming against struggling teams. Their spacing, shot creation, and overall offensive efficiency drop sharply when Curry sits, creating vulnerability early in games. That’s a troubling trend against an Oklahoma City team that excels at jumping out front, especially at home.

The Thunder dominated the Warriors 126-102 in their most recent meeting, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander posting 28 points and 11 assists in just three quarters and Chet Holmgren going a perfect 9/9 from the field with 11 rebounds. OKC’s pace, length, and movement overwhelmed Golden State, and the Warriors’ turnover issues become even more pronounced without their star floor general available. Given Golden State’s tendency to fall behind early without Curry and OKC’s consistent first half strength, this sets up as another strong spot for the Thunder to take control early.

Thunder vs Warriors Prediction: Thunder 1H -6.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -7