Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/02/26

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Golden State Warriors will go head-to-head for the third time this season when they meet again at Golden State on Friday night. Oklahoma City dominated the first 2 matchups, and it would be no surprise if more of the same transpires in this one. My Thunder vs. Warriors pick is for the visitors to win and cover. OKC cruised 126-102 at home on November 11; even when the defending NBA champions had to go on the road, they still took care of business against the Dubs 124-112 on December 2.

Exactly 1 month later, I see no reason why the tide will turn. Oklahoma City is without big men Isaiah Hartenstein (calf) and Jaylin Williams (heel), but reserve center Branden Carlson knows what he’s doing out there. The Utah product delivered 12 points, 7 rebounds and a block in 20 minutes of work during Wednesday’s 124-95 rout of Portland. Moreover, Golden State isn’t really a team that can exploit an opponent’s weakness down low. The Warriors, of course, are led by PG Stephen Curry and SF Jimmy Butler. Their center is Quinten Post — not exactly someone the Thunder have to worry about when they are playing defense. Head coach Steve Kerr’s crew is decent at home, but it is coming off an Eastern Conference road trip in which it played 3 games in the last 5 days. Even with a day off on Thursday, fatigue could be a factor. Give me OKC to win big…again.

Thunder vs Warriors prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder -7 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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