Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/15/26

Oklahoma City enters this matchup as one of the NBA’s elite teams, carrying one of the top records in the Western Conference and an offense that consistently produces at a high level. The Thunder are averaging north of 120 points per game, driven by efficient shot selection and a fast paced style led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who continues to perform at an MVP-caliber level with close to 32 points per night. OKC’s ability to create transition opportunities and score in bunches makes them dangerous, particularly when games open up and possessions increase.

Houston, however, is a much tougher out at home than the spread might suggest. The Rockets have played their best basketball in their own building, leaning on physical defense, rebounding, and balanced scoring to stay competitive against quality opponents. Alperen Sengun anchors the offense with his interior scoring and playmaking, while Houston’s supporting cast has shown the ability to contribute in key moments. The Rockets have had some recent ATS struggles, but their overall home profile and willingness to slow the tempo give them a realistic path to keep this game close. Houston tends to play up to their competition and 5.5 points is a lot for an inconsistent Thunder squad.

Thunder vs Rockets Prediction: Houston Rockets +5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +4.5.

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