Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/21/26

The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 6 of their last 7 games heading into a road date with the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night. Oklahoma City endured a bit of a swoon from mid-December through early January, but it is back on track and playing like the defending NBA champion. The Thunder have been getting the job done with defense. They have held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 104 points or fewer, including 2 under the century mark during this stretch. Now OKC faces one of the lowest-scoring teams in the association. As such, my Thunder vs Bucks pick is Under 226.5.

Milwaukee is averaging just 112.4 points per game — third fewest in the Eastern Conference and tied for fifth fewest in the entire league. The Bucks have scored 106 points or fewer in 4 of their last 5 outings; they have not posted more than 115 points since January 2. Adding insult to injury, the home team could be without Myles Turner (12.2 ppg) on Wednesday; he is questionable due to an ankle injury. The pace in Wednesday’s contest probably won’t be too quick. Milwaukee ranks #24 in the NBA in pace of play at 102.0 possessions per game. As a massive underdog against the best team in the league, the Bucks will be especially content to shorten the game as much as possible. OKC might oblige, as it is nothing notable in terms of pace (right in the middle of the pack at #15). I’m rolling with the under.

Thunder vs Bucks prediction: Under 226.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

You can bet on our Thunder vs Bucks pick at DraftKings Sportsbook, which has thousands of betting options available and a great new customer offer where you can get $300 in bonus bets instantly if your first $5 wager is a winner! Click here 👈🏼 to sign up for a DraftKings account now.