Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/09/26

The Sacramento Kings enter this matchup at 12-42, continuing to struggle on both ends of the floor while averaging just 110.8 points per game and surrendering 120.6 ppg, one of the worst defensive marks in the league. Sacramento ranks 22nd in field-goal percentage (46.6%) and 22nd in 3-point shooting (34.9%), and their issues are magnified away from home — where they are 3-23 on the road. Defensive breakdowns in transition and the paint have fueled extended losing stretches, although the Kings occasionally flash competitiveness. Zach LaVine (19.5 ppg) remains their primary scoring option, while Russell Westbrook averages 6.7 assists — tasked with creating offense in an otherwise inconsistent half-court attack.

New Orleans sits at 14-40, but the Pelicans enter with momentum after a 119-115 win over Minnesota — highlighted by Saddiq Bey’s 30-point performance and Zion Williamson’s 29 points. On the season, New Orleans averages 114.5 PPG, slightly more efficient than Sacramento, although defensively they allow 120.9 points per game — creating similar problems in controlling tempo. Trey Murphy III has been a consistent offensive presence by averaging over 22 points per game. The Pelicans have split their last 8 contests. Despite both teams’ defensive flaws, this matchup profiles as less explosive than the total suggests, with Sacramento’s road inefficiency and New Orleans’ tendency to rely on half-court scoring limiting extended runs. With inconsistent shooting, turnover issues and neither team pushing elite pace, this game sets up for a more controlled scoring environment.

Kings vs Pelicans prediction: Under 231.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 229.5.