San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/08/25

The Spurs and Pelicans have both shown offensive volatility, making Under 236.5 an appealing angle despite their earlier 245-point meeting. San Antonio’s defense has actually held up reasonably well in this matchup, posting a 116.3 defensive rating against New Orleans. The Pelicans’ own defensive issues remain glaring — they allow more than 122 points per game, one of the league’s worst marks. Offensively, the Spurs continue to suffer through cold stretches — including a recent game in which they managed only 96 points on 33% shooting, illustrating how quickly their scoring can collapse when forced into half-court execution.

The Pelicans aren’t much more reliable in structured sets, thriving mostly in transition but bogging down when teams slow the pace. San Antonio usually forces that slower tempo, which reduces possessions and scoring spikes. Both clubs have struggled to generate consistent late-game offense, often settling for contested jumpers or inefficient drives. Combined with their uneven shooting percentages and lack of elite half-court creation outside of isolated bursts, this matchup leans toward grinding, defensive-leaning stretches rather than a full 48-minute shootout. When factoring in lower offensive ratings and pace tendencies, under remains a strong play.

Spurs vs Pelicans prediction: Under 236.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 235.5.

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