San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 12/13/25

T-Mobile ArenaPRIME
Spurs
17-7
Spurs
Sat Dec 13
Thunder
24-1
Thunder

Vote on who will win!

Oklahoma City Thunder
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Spurs vs Thunder Pickswise Expert Predictions

Game Totals Pick
Over 225.5(-110)

The Thunder are the story of the season — 24–1, defending champs, and blasting opponents en route to the NBA Cup semifinals. Because of that, the market is pricing them at a premium, and anyone backing OKC here is paying for the hype as much as the team. That’s where the overlay risk comes in and makes the Spurs the sharp side but to back, but that leads more into what we are really here to talk about – the total.

San Antonio’s upset win over the Lakers in Los Angeles showed they are not simply passengers in this tournament. The Spurs have improved dramatically since last season, and while they don’t have OKC’s star power, they have enough structure and versatility to compete far better than the point spread or the over/under suggests. The thing is, the Spurs will have to lean into their offense to get the job done here. San Antonio is not built for a defensive showdown like the total suggests, so they will have to find a breakthrough against the Thunder’s stout defense to have a chance. We have to like those prospects, the Spurs put up over 130 against the Lakers in Los Angeles to come away with the W, a game that eclipsed the 240 mark in total. Then there is the other side of it, the Thunder can trample the Spurs and leave them in wreckage, but even if that happens, 225 seems a bit low overall. Take the over.

Spurs vs Thunder prediction: Over 225.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Napier Montgomery

College football handicapper for Pickswise, specializing in college football, soccer and college basketball. Much prefer betting on the smaller/forgotten games than the big matchups, where the lines are a lot more vulnerable. PhD in Victorian Literature, putting my skills of the written word to the test with betting analysis.
Read more about Napier Montgomery