Utah Jazz vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/03/26

Indiana just played a high-profile, emotionally charged game where they exceeded expectations as a modest underdog and nearly won outright as a five-point pup against Houston, last night. The market was fading the Pacers at all costs, but Indiana delivered. However, performances like that often carry a hidden tax the next night. Teams that pour energy into proving the market wrong frequently show a dip in sharpness in a back-to-back. This is not because of effort, but because emotional peaks are hard to replicate. The Pacers just went toe-to-toe with a Western Conference heavyweight. Now they have to get up for a lowly Utah side with a short turnaround. The let-down potential is enormous and that’s the danger.

We get to benefit though since the perception has flipped. Indiana suddenly looks appealing, and that shift in sentiment matters. The Pacers are now expected to win by more than a possession when a day ago, they were a multiple-possession underdog. When the market moves from doubting a team to backing them quickly, value can migrate to the other side. Utah is positioned to benefit if the Pacers are even slightly off rhythm. The Jazz don’t need to grind; they can score in bunches when defensive rotations are a half-step late. That’s exactly what shows up in flat spots like this one. Utah’s offense thrives on early confidence and if they get comfortable, look out. The Notes can force opponents into chase mode, which stretches games out, and favors the more aggressive scoring side which is them in this scenario. The overall situational energy swing gives the Jazz a live path to the outright result. We’re backing Utah to pull it off.

Jazz vs Pacers prediction: Jazz +135 (ML) available at time of publishing. Playable to the number.