Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 02/20/26

Does either team play defense? Not really. Utah loves to play with pace and they love to lead with their offense. This is a team that loves track meets. Memphis is a team that can keep pace high and happy to trade buckets with a team like Utah who has no defensive backstop. The angle isn’t that both these teams are great offensively, so we are backing the over for that reason alone. It’s also because both are prone to short defensive possessions.

Also, totals in this range cash when the game stays competitive. The spread is literally one basket. A tight spread means fourth quarters can get explosive. What you have as result is a normal pace plus late-game free throws layered on top. Every possession will count and in the late minutes, these possessions often draw situations with many trips to the line. Backing the under is backing the notion that at least one team finds a sustained cold stretch. That may not happen. In this matchup, the more reliable pattern is the opposite: neither team strings together consistent stops. Clearing 239 here becomes less about offensive ceiling and more about what is a good baseline working number.

Jazz vs Grizzlies prediction: Over 238.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to the number.