Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/31/25

The Milwaukee Bucks find themselves laying -10.5 once again against Washington after a surprising straight up loss to the Wizards as double digit favorites earlier this season. That result now looks more like an anomaly than a trend. Milwaukee has since stabilized, with Giannis Antetokounmpo back healthy and anchoring an offense that continues to rank among the league’s most efficient. Giannis’ ability to dominate the paint, draw fouls, and create open looks for shooters places constant pressure on opposing defenses, and the Bucks’ depth has improved with more consistent production from Bobby Portis and the supporting cast. With motivation clearly present after being embarrassed in the earlier meeting, Milwaukee is unlikely to overlook Washington this time.

The Wizards remain firmly in rebuild mode and continue to struggle defensively, particularly against physical frontcourts and elite half court offenses. While Washington has flashed competitiveness in spots and pulled off that earlier upset, their road performances have been far less reliable, often breaking down when forced to defend multiple actions and defend the rim for extended stretches. Milwaukee’s size, experience, and ability to push runs in transition make this a difficult matchup for a young Wizards team that lacks defensive consistency. With the Bucks healthier, sharper, and fully aware of what went wrong in the previous loss, this spot profiles as a classic bounce back scenario. Given the identical line and situational edge, this qualifies as a system play to lay the points with Milwaukee after the straight up loss.

Wizards vs Bucks Prediction: Bucks -10.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to that number