2020 Tokyo Olympics tennis Day 8 best bets: Bencic vs. Vondrousova for the gold medal

Belinda Bencic
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon


Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

The 2016 Rio Olympics produced an unexpected women’s singles gold medalist in Monica Puig. Although the champion at these 2020 Tokyo Olympics won’t be quite as surprising as Puig, Belinda Bencic and Marketa Vondrousova were not among the favorites when the tournament began.

Meanwhile on the men’s side, Novak Djokovic has been relegated to the bronze-medal match. The world No. 1 will battle Pablo Carreno Busta for a place on the podium.

Let’s take a look at our best bets on Day 8 in Tokyo.

Belinda Bencic +1.5 games over Marketa Vondrousova (-103)

Vondrousova’s surprising run includes a win over Naomi Osaka and the Czech has not lost a set since the first round, but that is why Bencic is an underdog and therefore comes in with great value. The Swiss is much higher-ranked (No. 12 to No. 42) and has been by far the better player throughout 2021. On anything other than clay, she should not be an underdog against Vondrousova.

Bencic has endured more difficult matches in Tokyo, but she had a full day off to recover following the semis and her quality of opponents should give her a ton of confidence. The 24-year-old is coming off wins over French Open champion Barbora Krejcikova, French Open runner-up Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, and French Open quarterfinalist Elena Rybakina. Speaking of the French Open, that was the biggest final of Vondrousova’s career in 2019. The Czech won only four total games during a 6-3, 6-1 loss to Ashleigh Barty. Bencic may handle the pressure more effectively, so I also like her straight up at +114.

Don’t forget to read our picks for the Olympics men’s basketball, where we’re on an 8-2 hot streak!

Pablo Carreno Busta +5 games over Novak Djokovic (-104)

Obviously, Djokovic is the far better player, but five games is a big spread for any match in which two players are coming off tough losses one day earlier. It’s not going to be easy for either one to recover–but it should be easier for Carreno Busta.

If you had told PCB prior to the event that he would be in the bronze-medal match, he would have taken it in a heartbeat. If you had told Djokovic the same, he probably wouldn’t have showed up in Tokyo and instead rested for the U.S. Open. I don’t see Djokovic being especially motivated on Saturday, and Carreno Busta is playing well enough such that he is hard to beat for anyone–even Djokovic–who isn’t in peak form both mentally and physically. It’s worth sprinkling some of your bet on the +467 money line, too.

Elina Svitolina vs. Elena Rybakina over 21.5 games (-114)

A total of 21.5 games is just not a big number for a match that should be extremely competitive. The head-to-head series is tied up 1-1 and each of their contests has required at least 23 games. With both players in fine form, it probably won’t be easy to separate them on Saturday. Svitolina is ranked 14 spots higher (No. 6 to No. 20), but it is actually Rybakina who is a slight favorite. The Kazakh beat Garbine Muguruza 7-5, 6-1 in the quarterfinals—an especially impressive result. She is now coming off a three-set loss to Bencic, while Svitolina has played a trio of three-setters during this tournament. It should also be noted that the pressure of a bronze-medal match is immense, so this one could be a roller-coaster ride.

Make sure you check the rest of our picks for the 2020 Tokyo Olympics

Pickswise is the home of expert ATP Tennis and WTA Tennis Predictions. Our tennis handicappers provide expert insight along with the best tennis bets throughout the big tournaments on the tour, including the Grand Slam events and the Olympics.

Virginia Bonuses

See All


Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

FanDuel Sportsbook


Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.



Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF



Bet $10, Win $200 if Any NBA Team Hits a Three Pointer!

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NBA game

Win $200 in free bets if any team hits a three pointer

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Bet $5 & Win $150 If Your First Moneyline Bet Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.



Get 4x $200 In Free Bets

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook


Get a $1,250 risk-free bet

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.



Bet $10, Get $200 if Any NHL Team Scores A Goal

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NHL game

Win $200 in free bets if any teams scores a goal

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get 5x $100 in Free Bets for Steelers vs. Colts!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.



Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight


Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.



Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.



Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy


First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply