Best MLB player prop bet today 7/21: Javier dominates the Yanks again

Houston Astros starting pitcher Cristian Javier (53) walks off the mound after pitching during the first inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Minute Maid Park.
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JutPicks

MLB · 2 weeks ago

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NBA and MLB props specialist for Pickswise.

Pickswise was nice enough to give me the opportunity to write up my plays for you all. For those of you who don’t know me, they refer to me as JutPicks on Twitter. I post all my plays with brief writeups every day. Now I get to write even more with no character limit!

I pride myself on being as transparent as they come. My MLB record from last season and this season is listed in my bio. On the year, I’ve recorded 125 wins and 96 losses for a gain of +19 units. Without further ado, let’s dive into my favorite play for Thursday.

Cristian Javier (HOU) under 2.5 earned runs (-130)

Line available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

It was an eventful 1st half of the MLB season for myself. Currently, I’m at a gain of over 19 units with a record of 125-96. I’m looking to continue that momentum into the 2nd half of the season and it starts with a Cristian Javier prop!

Javier has amazing numbers against this New York Yankees lineup. Joey Gallo is the only player in the lineup today to register a hit off Javier. The other 8 hitters are a career 0 for 23! Five of the 9 hitters that started against Javier back in June will be in the lineup again today. You may remember that game as Javier pitched 7 innings of no-hit baseball. He struck out 13 batters and had a career day. His strikeout numbers are marvelous this season and that usually results in long counts, which will likely limit his innings.

Javier was extremely limited to start the season so it seems unfair to count those games towards his total. In games where Javier pitched more than 80 pitches, he is under this line in 9 of 13 starts. Of course, we can’t expect Javier to replicate his no-hit performance but I expect him to have a quality start at home.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for New York Yankees vs Houston Astros (Game 1)

Pickswise is the home of free MLB Picks. Check out the latest MLB Prop Bets and MLB Parlays as well as our MLB Best Bets from the experts.

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