Best MLB player prop for Saturday's slate: Red Sox shell Garcia

Luis Garcia MLB player prop
Photo of John Hyslop

John Hyslop

MLB· 1 month ago

Show Bio

You can't win if you don't bet. That's a fact. I've been betting games for over 20 years and writing about it for the past 10. If there's a game, there's an angle. We just have to find it.

Betting pitcher props in the playoffs is risky business. These guys have the shortest of leashes and at any point, your guy can just get the hook. It’s a dirty game at this point but some people like dirty. I know I do. It makes it more fun. Today at 4:20pm ET, we’ve got the Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros in Game 2 of the ALCS. There has to be a MLB player prop we can feel good about in there somewhere. I think I may have found it too.

If you’re on Twitter, you need to follow me right now. That’s the best advice I can give you and probably the smartest thing you will do all day. Once lineups are announced for some of this game, there is a chance for opportunity to knock. You should be there to answer it.

Luis Garcia under 4.5 strikeouts (-115)

Line available at DraftKings at time of publishing.

We don’t have a big choice here since DraftKings and BetMGM are the only ones with a number on this MLB player prop. DraftKings has this one at -115 while BetMGM has -135, so we’ll go with DraftKings. FanDuel has nothing so far in terms of pitcher strikeouts for either MLB game today.

This could absolutely blow up in our faces, but Garcia is going to have to earn it for that to happen. I don’t know if he can. In his last 5 starts, he’s hit this number only once. He’s been a walk machine, too, giving up at least 3 free passes in 3 of those 5 starts. The Astros kept Framber Valdez on a tight leash last night, letting him throw only 64 pitches. Garcia usually tops out in the 80s anyway, so he’ll likely be gone at the first sign of trouble.

Although the Red Sox struck out 10 times last night, the Houston starter was responsible for only 2 of them. They have been good in the postseason about making contact, as they struck out only 37 times in 5 games with the Tampa Bay Rays. That’s not that bad. They had a game in which they struck out only 3 times and another in which they fanned only 5 times. All they have to do is take walks and make contact against this guy and he’ll likely get pulled before he can whiff 5.

This is my favorite MLB player prop of the day.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros

Pickswise is the home of free MLB picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our MLB parlays and MLB prop bets tabs for more expert picks.

See All


Bet $10, Win $200 If Your Team Covers +40 Points!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $10+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team covers +40 points

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Bet $20, Get $200 - Regardless of Outcome!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+.

Bet $20 on any game in any sport!

As soon as your game is over, you'll receive a $200 bonus - no matter whether your initial bet won or lost!

Caesars Sportsbook


Get a $1,001 Free Bet + A FREE NBA JERSEY!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,001

Win or lose, you'll receive a free bet matching your initial stake - up to $1,001! You'll also be given a gift card for a FREE NBA JERSEY!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF



Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook


Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight


Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.



Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing


$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.



Get a $400 Risk-Free Bet on the Breeders' Cup!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code PICKS400

Place a bet on the Breeders' Cup

Receive a refund if your first bet loses up to $400

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.