Best NFL midseason team win totals picks: More misery expected for struggling Patriots

Cam Newton fumbles the ball in New England's 24-21 loss to the Buffalo Bills.
Photo of Chris Rivers

Chris Rivers

NFLยท 11 months ago

Show Bio

A self-confessed sports nut who has managed to turn his passion into a career, resulting in the last 15 years being spent covering a wide variety of sports for numerous media outlets. You can find me writing mainly about the NFL and NHL here on Pickswise, with a bit of soccer on the side. One of the rarest of breeds: an actual LA Chargers fan.

After a turbulent start to the year, the muddy waters of the NFL are beginning to look a little clearer as we enter Week 10 of the regular season.

The natural order of this year’s league has begun to take shape and that offers us the opportunity to revisit the NFL win totals market, which is available to bet on at FanDuel Sportsbook. Let’s dive in.

New England Patriots under 6.5 (+140)

Those who dislike New England would say the chickens have come home to roost this year with the Pats sat at 3-5 after a disastrous season. After 11 straight AFC East Divisional titles, this current Patriots team is on course for a first losing season of the Bill Belichick era since his debut year in 2000.

New England will have known they were in for a difficult year after being handed the toughest schedule of any NFL franchise but even they will have expected to perform better. The impact of COVID has been keenly felt in Foxborough but that isn’t totally to blame with the team regressing in all areas.

The Patriots need to win half of their remaining eight games to get over the win total and with matchups against the Ravens, Cardinals, Rams, Bills, and Dolphins to come, that is no easy task. Even the road games at the unpredictable Texans and Chargers have the potential to go wrong.

Buffalo Bills over 10.5 (-135)

The Bills are the heirs apparent in the AFC East after coming through a rough patch to move to 7-2 on the season with Sunday’s explosive win over the Seattle Seahawks. That was the perfect game for quarterback Josh Allen to get his confidence back as he threw for three touchdowns and rushed for another score.

Attack is definitely the best form of defense for Buffalo so if Allen can keep the ball rolling they should surpass last year’s record of 10-6. They face a few tricky matchups before the start of the playoffs, most notably the Week 14 game against the unbeaten Steelers, but even that shouldn’t hold too many fears. The four wins needed to get to 11 on the year are likely to come against the Chargers, 49ers, Broncos, and Patriots, while the pressure coming from behind from the Dolphins should keep them honest down the stretch.

Denver Broncos under 5.5 (+125)

Entering the season as outsiders for the playoffs, Denver’s season has been ruined by a mix of injuries to key players, a lack of development from Drew Lock, and some poor coaching decisions.

Sat at 3-5 entering Week 10, Denver appears on a downward trajectory having been blown out by the Chiefs and Falcons recently, while they played their get out of jail free card to beat the Chargers. No team has averaged fewer points in the first half during those three weeks than the Broncos and constantly playing from behind doesn’t suit this team.

Two encounters with the Raiders will be a defining factor in their win total, with tough matchups against the Dolphins, Bills, Saints, and Chiefs also on the slate.

Arizona Cardinals over 8.5 wins (-155)

The Cardinals suffered a tough loss to the Miami Dolphins in Week 9 as they dropped to 5-3, but they shouldn’t be too disheartened by that defeat. Two of Arizona’s three losses have been by a field goal this year and they currently have the best point-differential in the NFC at plus-54.

Quarterback Kyler Murray was unstoppable against a Miami defense that has played well this season and the Cards have now put up over 30 points in five straight games. With a few improvements on defense, they have what it takes to get to nine wins.

Two divisional matchups with the LA Rams will prove crucial to Arizona but they could still find the four wins they need from elsewhere with games against the Patriots, Giants, Eagles, and 49ers to come.

Pickswise is the home of free NFL Predictions and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks.

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $2, Win $150 CASH for NBA Tipoff!

Register for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook and make a deposit of $10+

Bet $2 on any NBA game on Oct. 19 or Oct. 20

If you pick the winner correctly, you win $150 in CASH!

21+ and new players only. Max bet $2, max reward $150. Must deposit $10+ to be eligible for promotion. Full terms available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Unibet

$50

Bet $5, Win $50 if Your Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with Unibet and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any NBA team to win their next game

If your team hits a 3-pointer during the game, you win a bonus $50 - regardless of the game's outcome!

Max bet $5. 21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Unibet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5, Get $200 On The NBA!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

place a money line bet of at least $5+ on any NBA Basketball game that starts between 10/19 and 11/7

If your team wins, you will be issued a $200 free bet bonus!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$5,000

Get a $5,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $5,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose - up to $5,000!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using โ€˜BET200โ€™ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign Up Bonus with TwinSpires Racebook!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code BET200

Make a deposit and start wagering on horse racing

Earn $100 in bonus cash for every $400 wagered!

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.