Best NHL prop bets for today, 1/3 - Matthew Tkachuk crushes Coyotes

Florida Panthers left wing Matthew Tkachuk
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Mark Lammey


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I've been a capper since my love for sports met my proficiency with numbers and math. The NFL and NCAAF have always been my first loves, followed by the NHL. Although I prefer sports that involve hitting people, I still love capping MLB, soccer, tennis, and even some esports. Living in Florida has its perks like year-round sports of any kind. For Mark Lammey media enquiries, please email

We had just 1 player prop last night due to the small 3-game slate, but now we’re back with 11 games on the board. There looks to be a fair amount of both great matchups and contests that look to be 1-sided. If you’d rather not have to sweat out a side or pay a huge price, then player props are for you. After breaking down the slate, we’ve found 2 incredible spots to target, so let’s dive in. 

Along with our player props, be sure to check out all of our NHL picks for today’s action.

Matthew Tkachuk over 1.5 points (+155)

One of those aforementioned games that is set to be a landslide victory takes place in South Beach. We’d rather not pay nearly -350 for the Florida Panthers to beat the Arizona Coyotes, so we’ll instead take the much better value on Tkachuk. He’s been just as great as the Panthers had hoped when he came over from the Calgary Flames this offseason. His 43 points through 35 games leads the team, as does his 128 shots. He’ll continue taking those chances against a Coyotes team that allows the 3rd-most shots per game. 

It also helps that Florida recently welcomed back Aleksander Barkov, who recorded a hat-trick in his first game back. Tkachuk is the perfect assist man and he and Barkov should feast tonight, especially on the power play. Arizona commits the 3rd-most penalties in the NHL, while having the 6th-worst net penalty kill percentage. This game should also bring back some great memories for Tkachuk. As a member of the Flames last season, he recorded a 4 and 2-point game the last 2 times he faced the Coyotes. He had 3 points in the Panthers’ recent 7-2 win over the Montreal Canadiens, a team of similar caliber to Arizona, so expect another big night for Tkachuk.

Be sure to check out our Arizona Coyotes vs Florida Panthers predictions

Connor McDavid over 1.5 points (-160)

We’re headed back to a guy that always seems to come through for us. The significant price difference for the exact same prop as Tkachuk alone speaks to just how dominant McDavid continues to be. We actually targeted teammate Leon Draisaitl recently to switch things up just a bit, but he ended up being out with an illness that night. Naturally, McDavid went on to record 5 points in that game, which also leads to why we’re targeting him tonight. That 5-point game was against the Seattle Kraken, who will be his opponent again tonight. 

He and the Edmonton Oilers went on to crush the Kraken by a final of 7-2. However, they followed that up with a bad loss in which they scored just 1 goal against the Winnipeg Jets. That’s a strong goaltending team, and now the Oilers get to take on the Kraken at home this time around. Not only has Seattle allowed over 3.5 goals per game on the road, they’ve done the same in the past month. Draisaitl was seen skating at practice Monday morning, so we also like him to hit this play as well. His presence also helps McDavid have an elite skater to link up with, and it’s worth paying the extra price for the consistency.

Don’t miss out on our NHL mega parlay at +946 odds for today’s action!

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