Best NHL player prop bet for Tuesday, 11/22: Jeff Skinner shows up for the Sabres

Buffalo Sabres forward Jeff Skinner
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Mark Lammey


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I've been a capper since my love for sports met my proficiency with numbers and math. The NFL and NCAAF have always been my first loves, followed by the NHL. Although I prefer sports that involve hitting people, I still love capping MLB, soccer, tennis, and even some esports. Living in Florida has its perks like year-round sports of any kind. For Mark Lammey media enquiries, please email
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We’re back to just 2 games on the board, but we can still make it a profitable night. The New York Rangers continue their west coast road trip by taking on the Kings in Los Angeles. Those are 2 teams that can be stout defensively, so there’s more value in the player prop market for the Buffalo Sabres and Montreal Canadiens matchup. They’re 2 teams in the bottom half of the Atlantic Division, but we aren’t worried about trusting either team to win the game. We’ve targeted a great spot for a specific skater to show out tonight instead. Along with our player props, be sure to check out all of our NHL picks for today’s action.

Jeff Skinner over 0.5 points (-125)

This is a Sabres skater we’ve targeted recently for his shots on goal prop, along with teammate Tage Thompson. While Buffalo’s record may not be the greatest, these have been 2 guys reliable in terms of player props. They’re the clear leaders of this team, along with Alex Tuch. They’re on the top line together, and therefore, we expect a point from each of them. However, we’re giving the love to Skinner as there is more value in his price, along with his history against the Canadiens. In 4 meetings against Montreal last season, he recorded a whopping 9 points, including a 5-point game in which he scored 4 goals. 

We just need a single point from him tonight, and there’s no reason to expect anything less. The Canadiens still have the same goaltenders — Sam Montembeault and Jake Allen — as last season. That means there should be no surprise that they’re again one of the worst goaltending teams in the NHL. They’re allowing 3.5 goals per game, which is the 6th-most in the league. That average actually gets slightly worse at home, where they allow 3.6 goals per game. Despite the Sabres being below .500, they’ve been solid on the offensive end of the ice. They’re currently tied for 7th in terms of goals scored per game. We expect Thompson and Tuch to record a point as well, but snag the better price with Skinner.

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