Best NHL prop bets for today, 1/17 - Kirill Kaprizov carves up the Capitals

Minnesota Wild left wing Kirill Kaprizov
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Mark Lammey


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I've been a capper since my love for sports met my proficiency with numbers and math. The NFL and NCAAF have always been my first loves, followed by the NHL. Although I prefer sports that involve hitting people, I still love capping MLB, soccer, tennis, and even some esports. Living in Florida has its perks like year-round sports of any kind. For Mark Lammey media enquiries, please email

We had 2 big plus-money plays fall short yesterday, as of course the ‘other guys’ we mentioned in our breakdown had the big day. With that in mind, we always suggest reading through our full analysis. Regardless, we’re always here to bounce back, and today we have several great spots. We’re actually liking the slate enough to double up our usual 2 plays. We’ll keep things short and sweet for you, so let’s get into it. Along with our player props, be sure to check out all of our NHL picks for today’s action.

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Kirill Kaprizov over 0.5 goals (+125)

Kirill Kaprizov may not look to have the best situation against the Washington Capitals tonight, but he’s proven to be matchup-proof. He and the Minnesota Wild will be one of the few rested teams tonight, while the Caps were just on the ice last night and on the road. They had starting goaltender Darcy Kuemper in net against their division-rival New York Islanders, which sets up Kaprizov for success tonight. 

His 25 goals are tied for the 9th-most in the NHL, and he’s in the top 10 in shots taken. The youngster doesn’t have much history against the Caps, but he’s scored at least 1 goal in 4 of Minnesota’s 6 games this month. That includes back-to-back games against the Islanders and New York Rangers, 2 of the best goaltending teams in the NHL. We’ll back a fresh Kaprizov against a tired Caps team without defenseman John Carlson.

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Auston Matthews over 0.5 assists (-115)

That’s right, we’re swapping to an assist prop for last season’s leading goalscorer. While that might seem risky, Matthews very well may have both against the Florida Panthers tonight. The Toronto Maple Leafs were off yesterday, while the Panthers were in action against the Buffalo Sabres. Florida got the win, but they also used starting goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky in the process. Matthews has scored a goal in each of his last 2 games. 

Every single time he’s done that this season, he’s followed up the next game with an assist. It makes sense as William Nylander actually has more goals than Matthews this season (22), and even captain John Tavares has 20 goals himself. All 3 of those skaters are within the top 20 for shots taken as well. The Leafs have also been excellent at home this season with a 15-3-4 record. Matthews has had 5 assists in his last 4 meetings against Florida, so we’ll back him to notch another tonight.

Be sure to check out our full Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs predictions

Tage Thompson over 0.5 goals (+115)

If you checked out our plays yesterday, Thompson was a guy we targeted to have multiple points at +185 odds. Although he didn’t come through, we’re still expecting him to have a big night tonight. Since we’re already using the same skater, we’ll switch things up a bit even though we do think he’ll have multiple points. He already had a 3-point game against the Chicago Blackhawks earlier in the season, which included 2 goals. 

That’s who the Buffalo Sabres are facing tonight as they look to bounce back from yesterday’s loss. The Blackhawks have been the worst team in the NHL for the majority of the season, so we’re not worried about Buffalo being on a back-to-back. Admittedly, Thompson has had a slow January, yet his 31 goals are still the 3rd-most in the league. He’s had at least 1 goal in his last 3 games against Chicago, and should make it 4 straight tonight.

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Zach Hyman over 0.5 goals (+155)

We don’t target goalscoring props that often, but that’s the theme for tonight. The Edmonton Oilers wrap up the night with their home game against the Seattle Kraken. It’s their 3rd meeting against them, with the first being a 7-2 convincing win and the most recent being a 6-2 crushing loss. Hyman had 2 goals in that first matchup, and we’re expecting another game similar to that one tonight. Firstly, skating alongside Connor McDavid always provides excellent opportunities for goals. 

Of course, McDavid gets all the recognition for this team, but he has no problem dishing out the assists and letting his teammate find the back of the net. Hyman has 20 goals so far this season, and has been shooting at a very high clip. In fact, he’s just behind Thompson in that regard. He actually only needed 2 shots to score his 2 goals against Seattle in that first meeting. The Kraken were just on the ice against Tampa Bay Lightning last night, which should help Hyman shoot past a fatigued defense.

Be sure to check out our full Seattle Kraken vs Edmonton Oilers predictions

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