Best player prop bets for Monday’s NBA slate: Sabonis set for another big night

Indiana Pacers power forward Domantas Sabonis
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Germantas Kneita

NBA

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Like most Lithuanians, I started watching basketball from the age of six. I'm based out in London and played basketball at the University of Lincoln here in the UK. I had always had an interest in the NBA but things really took off in the summer of 2010. That year Linas Kleiza led Lithuania to 3rd place at the World Championships and signed with the Toronto Raptors to replace the departing Chris Bosh. I've been a Raptors fan since that day and I've not missed a game since. I've been handicapping games for more than a decade, specializing in player props. For Germantas Kneita media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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A six-game NBA slate tonight with some key games that could help determine this year’s playoff positions. The game between the Milwaukee Bucks and San Antonio Spurs could have major implications for both sides. The Bucks are just a half-game behind the Nets for second in the East whilst the Spurs need a win to help solidify their play in position.

You can see our full game previews here. In the meantime, let’s take a look at some of the best player prop picks for tonight’s games.

Domantas Sabonis over 41.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115)

With Malcolm Brogdon remaining out for the Pacers, Domantas Sabonis should be able to continue to have complete influence over tonight’s game. Over the last five games, he has smashed past the combined 42 point, assist and rebound mark on four occasions, with the one time that he failed being a game he failed to reach 20 points. He is averaging a touch over 21 points per game against the Cavaliers this season so should be able to keep that going here.

The Cleveland Cavaliers should be a good opponent for him tonight, with them allowing the second-most assists in the league over the last 10 games. Opponents have been having success rebounding against them with Jusuf Nurkic and Andre Drummond managing nine boards in under 22 minutes of actions. With Jarrett Allen unable to stretch the floor, Sabonis should be able to roam the paint and collect boards all night. Back him to hit this over.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers.

Bogdan Bogdanovic over 3.5 made threes (+118)

Bogdan Bogdanovic has been on fire from deep for the Hawks lately. He has hit at least four three pointers in six of his last eight games. Over those games he has been shooting a touch over 48 percent from deep. Considering he has attempted seven or more shots from three in seven of eight games, he should be able get enough attempts up to reach this total.

This should be a high-scoring game too, with the line currently set at 236.5 points. The Wizards are playing at the sixth fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games. That should allow plenty of possessions and scoring opportunities for the Hawks, which should help him hit his shots here.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Washington Wizards vs. Atlanta Hawks.

Damian Lillard over 35.5 points and assists (-120)

Over the last six games Damian Lillard has cleared this total on each occasion. He has been able to do that by hitting 30 or more points on five of those games, including a 38-point performance against the Lakers which in itself would have cleared this total. Lillard has been on point with the assists too recording at least seven in each of those games. Averaging nine assists against the Rockets this season, he looks set to keep his streak going here.

The Houston Rockets are 28th in the league in defensive rating over the last 10 games. Lillard has taken the Trail Blazers to the top of offensive ratings over that same stretch. This game might not be close but he has played at least 31 minutes in recent blowouts wins. And with how porous the Rockets have been defensively; he should be able to hit this total.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Houston Rockets vs. Portland Trail Blazers.

Rudy Gobert over 14.5 rebounds (+110)

Although Rudy Gobert has only managed 15 or more rebounds on four occasions over his last 10 appearances, the Warriors represent a perfect opponent for him to rebound against. In two games against the Warriors this season he is averaging 21 rebounds. Over the last 10 games the Warriors are 20th in opponent rebounds per game. The Warriors seventh in the league in pace over that same stretch which should lead to plenty of rebounding opportunities for Gobert.

In terms of matchups, Kevon Looney is not someone that will pull Gobert away from the rim. Draymond Green does step out to the three point line but is inefficient from out there and can be left alone. On the other side of the ball, Gobert should be able to use his size to get offensive rebounds over him. Back him to have another big rebounding night here.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Utah Jazz vs. Golden State Warriors.

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