Best Player Props for Monday's MLB Slate: Verdugo delivers

Boston Red Sox left fielder Alex Verdugo (99) runs the bases during the sixth inning against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field.
Photo of Andrew Ortenberg

Andrew Ortenberg

MLB· 5 months ago

Show Bio

I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

MLB is back in full swing, and we’ve got another great slate on Monday. We’ve had a lot of success with our MLB handicapping lately, including a big mega parlay win this past week, and we’re looking for more big wins here. We went 2-0 on our player props Sunday, let’s do it again on Monday. I’ve got two more which I really like that I’m going to discuss here. One of them centers on a big game from Alex Verdugo. Don’t forget to check what our MLB analysts have backed with side and total picks for all 15 games today.

Alex Verdugo over 0.5 runs scored (-113)

Line available at publishing at DraftKings

I went with two strikeout props yesterday, but this hitter’s market was the first thing that caught my eye on Monday. Verdugo has scored a run in seven of his last ten games, and in 17 of the 30 games this season where he’s gotten an at bat overall. As such, there’s value in getting this at -113 just blindly.

But when you consider the matchup, it becomes clear how much this line is mis-priced. The Red Sox have scored 21 runs over the first three games of their series against Baltimore, and are sizable favorites again here. The Orioles will start Jorge Lopez here, who has a 6.49 ERA through six starts.

In his one outing against Boston this year, he was tagged for seven earned runs. Verdugo also has a history of success against him. In his career against Lopez, Verdugo is 3/4 with a double and a home run.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles.

Martin Perez over 4.5 strikeouts (+120)

Line available at publishing at FanDuel

For our second prop, we’re sticking with this Red Sox/Orioles game. Perez isn’t the flashiest pitcher, but there’s a lot of value in getting +120 here. The Venezuelan lefty is seen as a mediocre starter, which has depressed this line. This season, he has 28 strikeouts in 28 and 2/3 innings.

Considering he’s facing a weak Orioles lineup that’s in the top half of the league in strikeouts, I think we’ll only need five innings from Perez to cash this. He’s already gotten to six strikeouts in three of six outings this year, including each of his past two. If Boston is up big in this game, which I expect, they’ll let Perez go as long as possible to save the bullpen.

Pickswise is the home of free MLB picks and predictions. Make sure to also check out our MLB parlays and ‘MLB prop bets‘ tabs for more expert picks. 

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $2, Win $150 CASH for NBA Tipoff!

Register for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook and make a deposit of $10+

Bet $2 on any NBA game on Oct. 19 or Oct. 20

If you pick the winner correctly, you win $150 in CASH!

21+ and new players only. Max bet $2, max reward $150. Must deposit $10+ to be eligible for promotion. Full terms available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Unibet

$50

Bet $5, Win $50 if Your Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with Unibet and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any NBA team to win their next game

If your team hits a 3-pointer during the game, you win a bonus $50 - regardless of the game's outcome!

Max bet $5. 21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Unibet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5, Get $200 On The NBA!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

place a money line bet of at least $5+ on any NBA Basketball game that starts between 10/19 and 11/7

If your team wins, you will be issued a $200 free bet bonus!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$5,000

Get a $5,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $5,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose - up to $5,000!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign Up Bonus with TwinSpires Racebook!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code BET200

Make a deposit and start wagering on horse racing

Earn $100 in bonus cash for every $400 wagered!

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.