Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Predictions

Sun 4/11 1:05 ET
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Pickswise's Expert Predictions & Analysis

Money Line Prediction
BOS Red Sox Win
Game Totals Prediction

Money Line Prediction

The Red Sox were swept by the Orioles at Fenway Park in their opening series of the 2021 season, and Boston did not look good at all. They managed just five total runs in those three games, but they responded by sweeping the Rays and outscoring them 26-9 in the following three-game set. Boston took that momentum into this series against Baltimore, winning the first two games by scores of 7-3 and 6-4. Since sweeping the Red Sox in that opening series, the Orioles are 1-4 and have been outscored 30-13.

Nick Pivetta gets the ball for Boston in this one, and he looked really good in his opening start tossing five scoreless innings against the Rays. He will face a Baltimore lineup that figures to rank near the bottom of the league offensively in 2021, and they have been held to four runs or fewer in seven of their eight games so far. Boston definitely has more potential offensively, and J.D. Martinez seems to be getting back on track after a less-than-stellar 2020 season. Martinez hit just .213 in 54 games last year, but he is off to a good start with a .433 batting average, .867 slugging percentage, and an OPS of 1.335 leading into Saturday’s game.

The Red Sox have dominated the Orioles when playing in Baltimore in recent memory, going 23-6 in their last 29 games at Camden Yards. Take Boston to keep that momentum going in this one.

Game Totals Prediction

Boston’s lineup has a lot of power that has the ability to do some damage against Jorge Lopez. His career ERA of 6.06 is hardly intimidating, and with the Boston bats heating up the way they are, don’t be surprised if the Red Sox put up more than a few runs. Pivetta looked good in his opening start, but expecting back-to-back scoreless outings from a guy with a career ERA north of five is asking a lot. Pivetta should pitch well enough to get the Sox a victory, but not well enough to completely shutdown Baltimore’s bats. A small play on the over is the recommendation for this AL East battle.

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