Germantas Kneita
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A couple more conference semi-final games tonight as the Brooklyn Nets look to grab a road win against the Milwaukee Bucks. The Denver Nuggets will also be in action tonight looking to avoid being swept in the series as they are currently facing a 3-0 deficit. Last season they were able to come back and win from 3-1 down on two occasions but a comeback here for them would be far more remarkable. I’ve selected one player prop for each game which you can find below.
Devin Booker over 5.5 rebounds (+110)
This seems like a great value bet as Devin Booker has been consistently strong on the boards this post season. He has managed to record six or more rebounds in six of the nine post season games he has played. That includes a 10 rebounds effort in just 33 minutes of playing time in game two against the Nuggets. With that taking his average for the series up to 6.7 rebounds per game, he looks well positioned to have another good night in what could be a close out game for the Suns.
A positive sign for Booker here is that his minutes have remained relatively high this series despite a few the games not being particularly close, with each one being decided by double digits. In two of the games, he was able to record 38 and 40 minutes of playing time and I expect the same tonight. With Nikola Jokic doing most of the offensive damage for the Nuggets, it has pulled Deandre Ayton away from the rim at times allowing others to step in and grab boards. And with Denver having not scored more than 105 points in a game so far, there have been a lot of misses that needed cleaning up. Look for Booker to continue doing just that tonight.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Phoenix Suns vs. Denver Nuggets.
Bryn Forbes over 9.5 points (+130)
The Milwaukee bench has not been very effective in this series against the Nets, especially in the low scoring game three, but that is bound to change at some point. Despite the last meeting between the teams being very low scoring, the line for today’s game is still set at 228.5. If the Bucks are to up their offensive production, they will need their second unit to show up. In games that they have this post season, Bryn Forbes has been the leading scorer off the bench on most occasions. He has hit double-digit points in four of his last six games, including two 22-point performances against the Heat. Considering he managed 10 points in game two of this series, he has demonstrated he is capable of scoring against this Nets team too.
Both teams have really shortened there benches now and play with an eight-man rotation. Considering how effective Giannis Antetokounmpo was in game three of the series, the Nets are likely to make a more concerted effort to pack the paint to stop him. That could open up the scoring opportunities on the perimeter for players like Forbes, who shot at an incredible 45 percent clip from deep during the regular season. With the attention being firmly on the former MVP and a higher scoring game predicted, look for Forbes to once again chip in with a double-digit effort.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Brooklyn Nets vs. Milwaukee Bucks.
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