BetsByBob's Friday MLB Picks: Kickstart the weekend with the White Sox

Lucas Giolito Yankees vs White Sox

It’s Friday, and we are rolling right into the weekend over here. I have some small getaway plans with the wife this weekend, so this will most likely be my last post until next week. To be honest, regardless of how Friday goes, Saturday is looking like a “load management” day for me. Come these long summer days with nothing but -250+ MLB favorites to bet on, it wears on you.

There are plenty of days where I don’t even want to dig into stats and matchups to see what I already know. That being that this time of year, a *real* edge is hard to come by in MLB. Not to say that they aren’t to be found. But I am not in the business of providing picks just to provide picks. Nonetheless, there are two plays I feel strongly about on this Friday card, so let’s start our weekend off with some winners!

Chicago White Sox (Lucas Giolito) @ Tampa Bay Rays (Michael Wacha)

Play: White Sox (-114)

*Playable to: White Sox (-125)

The White Sox come off an emotional series against the Oakland Athletics to head down south and take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The White Sox held their own, but much attention was drawn to Oaklands Chris Bassitt’s brutal line drive that he took, and that is something that the scorebooks don’t show, but takes a large toll on both teams. The show must go on however, and August is quickly coming to an end. Meaning September playoff races are right around the corner. This matchup features two teams that sure are to be in the thick of things.

Lucas Giolito gets the assignment here in the opener and has pitched just fine so far this season. He has an ERA of 3.83 with a FIP of 4.04, while managing the base paths well with a WHIP of 1.135. He has elite strikeout numbers nearing 30%, and controls the walks he gives up pretty near league average. Giolito also does a good job limiting the hard contact, only giving up a HardHit% of 35.8%. While this Rays lineup is no slouch, I do like Giolito to do enough to keep the White Sox in this one.

This play all along was more a fade of Michael Wacha for me. He has been someone I have enjoyed betting against for some time now, especially against an uber-talented lineup as the White Sox have. Wacha has an ERA of 5.91 with a FIP of 5.08. His strikeout numbers have been in decline, and his hard hit rate has been up. Wacha isn’t getting as many ground balls as he used to, and is having more of a home run problem than her has earlier in his career.

I went back and forth from the White Sox Moneyline and the over 8.5/9 in this one, and ultimately decided with the Sox. I think both are good plays here, but I am more confident in the White Sox taking the opener in this series.

Philadelphia Phillies (Matt Moore) @ San Diego Padres (Blake Snell)

Play: Over 8.5 (-120)

*Playable to: Over 8.5 (-125) or Over 9 (-105)

San Diego Padres National League shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. during workouts before the 2021 MLB All-Star Game

CREDIT – Ron Chenoy (USA Today)

The Phillies head to San Diego after a miserable midweek stretch. They dropped their last 4 games while their division rival Braves won their past 6. They are now sitting 4 games back after sitting at the top of the division, much due to their lack of offense. The Padres, however, continued their winless streak at Coors Field this year, and just dropped 3 straight on the road to the lowly Rockies. Both these teams are in dire need of some offense, and this pitching matchup should give them just that.

Matt Moore gets the start for the visiting Phillies, and he is one of my most favorite bet-against pitchers. He has an ERA of 6.79 with a FIP of 5.25, while carrying a WHIP of 1.657. Those numbers alone are enough to keep you out of the big leagues, let alone a team vying for a playoff spot. To make matters worse, Moore walks nearly 10% of the batters he faces, while allowing a home run to 4.8% of the batters he faces. This Padres team hits and plays much better at home, and should give Moore some serious trouble here in this one.

Blake Snell gets the nod for the home team here, and has struggled to the standard that the Padres expected him to be when they traded for him. He has an ERA of 4.80 and a FIP of 4.36, but also carries an undesirable WHIP of 1.559. Control has been a big issue for Snell in his time with the Padres, and this year has walked 13.8% of the batters he has faces. His strikeout numbers are down, and the hard contact is up. Not to mention he has the lowest ground ball rate of his career. There should be plenty of runs scored in this one, and we are getting a discounted total with the recent struggles of both offenses here.

Pickswise is the home of free MLB Picks and Predictions. Check out the latest MLB Prop Bets and MLB Parlays as well as our MLB Best Bets from the experts.

Virginia Bonuses

See All


Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

FanDuel Sportsbook


Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at



Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF



Bet $10, Win $200 if Any NBA Team Hits a Three Pointer!

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NBA game

Win $200 in free bets if any team hits a three pointer

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Bet $5 & Win $150 If Your First Moneyline Bet Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.



Get 4x $200 In Free Bets

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook


Get a $1,250 risk-free bet

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.



Bet $10, Get $200 if Any NHL Team Scores A Goal

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NHL game

Win $200 in free bets if any teams scores a goal

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get 5x $100 in Free Bets for Steelers vs. Colts!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.



Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight


Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.



Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.



Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy


First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply