College Football Week 4 parlay at mega (+920 odds) for Friday 9/22: Boilermakers can be spoilers
After the first 3 weeks delivered a ton of excitement, we should be in for a fantastic weekend of college football. Last week featured some wild finishes, exciting games between conference foes and unlikely upsets across the Power 5 and Group of 5 alike. In all, it was a weekend that delivered on the promise of what should be a great CFB season.
We’ve got plenty of games to choose from this week and I have built a 3-leg college football parlay of my favorite plays. Without any further ado, let’s look at the 3 components of my NCAAF mega parlay for Friday’s action, which is available at +920 odds.
Purdue ML (+180)
NC State -9 (-110)
Air Force -3.5 (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
For this parlay, we are going with an underdog on the money line and two favorites against the spread. Let’s break down each of these legs one by one.
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Purdue Boilermakers ML over Wisconsin Badgers (+180)
This is a game where the home underdog has taken money all week, and it’s easy to see why. I’m not sure if too many college football fans are aware of how bad Wisconsin’s offense has been to this point, particularly through the air. The transition from a ground-and-pound team to a more explosive plays-based offense under Phil Longo has inspired plenty of growing pains, and I expect those to continue against a defensive-minded head coach at Purdue. Ryan Walters should have his team well-prepared on a short week, and Hudson Card won’t be unnerved by the moment. This Boilermakers offense can struggle when teams can make them one-dimensional, but this Wisconsin defense hasn’t been that team so far this season. This is a game that should be very close down the stretch, so let’s take a shot with the ‘dog.
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NC State Wolfpack -9 over Virginia Cavaliers (-110)
Virginia is an absolute mess at the moment. The Cavaliers have lost 6 games straight dating back to last season and will likely be one of the worst teams in FBS this fall. So even though NC State’s offense has struggled in the early portion of the season, the Wolfpack should get a reprieve against this awful Virginia defense that allowed Maryland, Tennessee and James Madison to score at will. There should be a bit of added motivation as well for NC State quarterback Brennan Armstrong, as he played most of his college career at Virginia before transferring prior to this season. NC State should be able to name its number here, and the Virginia offense has looked very poor through 3 games. I don’t see that changing this week, especially against a stout Wolfpack defensive unit. Lay the points with the favorite.
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Air Force Falcons -3.5 over San Jose State Spartans (-110)
This game boils down to two key stats: San Jose State is 106th in the country in team rushing defense through the first 4 games, while Air Force holds the No. 1 rushing attack in college football, averaging 320.7 yards per game on the ground. That alone should have anyone lean toward laying the points with the Falcons here, especially at this short number. Sure, the Falcons don’t go to the air often, but the wear and tear of the triple option makes opposing defenses susceptible to get caught on play-action when they do throw the ball. Considering Air Force is averaging 19.3 yards per completion, they seem to be utilizing the pass effectively.
As for San Jose State, the Spartans played a decent Toledo team and held the passing game to under 100 yards and a turnover last week, but the same old story for the Trojans this year has been that they couldn’t stop the run. If Toledo can put up 229 rushing yards on 36 carries (6.4 ypc), I wouldn’t be surprised if Air Force easily clear its season average over the 300-yard mark on the ground in this one. All things considered, it’s hard not to take Air Force on the spread.
Be sure to read our full Air Force vs San Jose State predictions
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