CONCACAF Gold Cup tournament odds, predictions and picks: Mexico looks too strong

Alphonso Davies of Canada (right) and Paul Arriola (left) of the USMNT
Photo of Phil Agius

Phil Agius

Soccer

Show Bio

I've been writing about the NFL and a host of other sports for the UK's top daily betting paper the Racing Post for more than 20 years. An incurable Browns fan (1-31 survivor), I also specialise in all kinds of motorsport betting including F1, MotoGP, IndyCar and NASCAR.

Euro 2020 and Copa America are almost over but now the international soccer action swings across to the United States for the 2021 CONCACAF Gold Cup.

The 16 teams will do battle in nine cities across America from Nevada — the final will be at Allegiant Stadium, Paradise, on August 1 — to Florida.

The competing nations are split into four groups with the top two teams in each section advancing to the quarter-finals.

The top seeds in each group are holders Mexico, hosts the United States, Costa Rica, and Honduras, with the second-seeded group comprising more competitive teams in El Salvador, Canada, Jamaica, and Panama.

Mexico beat the American team in the final of the 2019 tournament and sportsbooks are expecting a repeat, with El Tri the +100 favorite and the USMNT second in the market at +175 odds. Fourteen of the last 15 tournaments have been won by either America or Mexico.

Mexico has won the tournament 11 times, with the States second with six wins, ahead of Costa Rica on three and Canada with two. The 2022 World Cup host Qatar is also taking part in this tournament (and the 2023 edition) as a guest.

2021 CONCACAF Gold Cup odds

Let’s take a look at the odds for who will win the Gold Cup, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook:

Mexico +100

United States +175

Canada +1100

Costa Rica +1400

Qatar +1600

Honduras +3300

Jamaica +2000

Panama +4000

All other teams are at odds of +6000 or more with DraftKings Sportsbook.

2021 CONCACAF Gold Cup best bet: Mexico +100

It looks like Mexico is not happy about its defeat by the United States in the final of the 2019-20 CONCACAF Nations League. A penalty kick by Christian Pulisic, now of EPL side Chelsea, gave the USMNT a 3-2 extra-time win in the final of that event, but El Tri have come with a loaded roster this time around.

Their squad includes Hector Herrera of Spanish champions Atletico Madrid and Napoli winger Hirving Lozano, while the States are missing many of their stars from the Nations League win, including Pulisic.

Nineteen of the 23-man US squad play at home in Major League Soccer and while the home side should put up a strong fight — only Euro 2020 quarter-finalist Switzerland has beaten them in their last 13 games — the smart pick has to be to side with Mexico.

The Mexican selection, with World Cup qualifiers and the Olympics on the horizon, shows they mean business and coach Gerardo Martino would be under pressure if he can’t deliver the trophy in this tournament.

Mexico has lost just once inside 90 minutes in its last 16 games, recording wins over the Netherlands, Japan, and South Korea in that time.

Mexico in action

CREDIT – SIPA USA

Check out our Euro 2020 final preview for Italy vs. England

2021 CONCACAF Gold Cup longshot: Jamaica +2000

The Reggae Boyz, runners-up in 2015 and 2017, are an emerging force in the region and look good value at these odds.

Jamaica lost 4-1 to the USA in March, although they trailed only 2-1 after 83 minutes, and a goal by Andre Gray gave them a solid 1-1 draw with Serbia last month.

Bayer Leverkusen winger Leon Bailey provides a dash of real quality and they have several players who perform at a high level in England including Bobby Decordova-Reid, who played in the EPL for Fulham last season.

The other team to consider at big odds is Canada, which has not won the tournament since an upset win in 2000 but looks to be strengthening ahead of co-hosting the 2026 FIFA World Cup alongside Mexico and the United States.

The name that leaps out on the Canadian roster is Bayern Munich star Alphonso Davies, while Toronto FC’s Ayo Akinola has switched international affiliation from the States to Canada after playing one senior international for the Stars and Stripes. The negative for the Canadians. though, is their lack of experience playing together and it may take them time to gel.

Check out our same game parlay for the Euro 2020 final between Italy and England (+2139 odds!)

Pickswise is the home of free Soccer Predictions, with soccer picks from Euro 2020 throughout the tournament and the MLS all season long.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

BetRivers

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Win $200 if Any NBA Team Hits a Three Pointer!

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NBA game

Win $200 in free bets if any team hits a three pointer

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 on Bills vs. Patriots & Win $150 If Your First Moneyline Bet Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game Moneyline in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 if Any NHL Team Scores A Goal

Sign up for a new betting account with BetMGM

Place a pre-game moneyline wager of at least $10 on a NHL game

Win $200 in free bets if any teams scores a goal

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet for Bills vs. Patriots

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets for Bills vs. Patriots

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus when you bet on Bills vs. Patriots

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets for Bills vs. Patriots

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy

$100

First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply