Quarterfinal action at the French Open gets underway on Tuesday, when Alexander Zverev and Joao Fonseca are among those taking the court on the men’s side. In the women’s bracket, Mirra Andreeva faces a tough test in the form of Sorana Cirstea.
I’m 9-3 over the past 4 days, so let’s keep the momentum going with my best bets on the Day 10 schedule.
Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Jodar Over 35.5 games (-125)
A top storyline in the men’s tournament has been the continued emergence of rising stars – most notably Jodar and Joao Fonseca. This may be Jodar’s first appearance at the French Open, but it is no surprise whatsoever that he finds himself in the quarters. The 19-year-old’s clay-court season already featured a title in Marrakech and back-to-back Masters 1000 QF performances in Madrid and Rome. Meanwhile, Zverev benefited from an incredibly soft draw through 4 rounds in Paris. The 29-year-old German has not been tested at all, but that is almost certain to change with Jodar on the other side of the net. Although Zverev is a sizable favorite, there is no reason to think that he is going to beat the red-hot Spaniard with ease.
Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea Over 20.5 games (-130)
Cirstea announced a while ago that she will retire at the end of 2026, but maybe she will reconsider based on how well she is playing. The 36-year-old Romanian owns a stellar 31-8 match record for the season, including 14-3 on clay. Through 4 rounds at Roland Garros, Cirstea has not surrendered a single set. Three of her 8 victorious sets have come by 6-0 scorelines and only 1 has been more competitive than 6-3. These 2 players just squared off a little more than a month ago on the clay courts of Linz, where Andreeva won 7-6(4), 4-6, 6-2. She may get the job done yet again, but what’s to say she is suddenly going to beat Cirstea in convincing fashion? This has the makings of a long, high-quality contest.
Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Over 36.5 games (-125)
Five-set marathons have been the theme of the men’s event, and both Fonseca and Mensik have played their part. Fonseca has twice come back from 2 sets down, defeating Dino Prizmic before toppling Novak Djokovic in an epic. Mensik has also won a pair of 5-setters, surviving against Mariano Navone and beating Andrey Rublev on Sunday. The only previous meeting between Mensik and Fonseca has come at the 2024 NextGen ATP Finals, where they battled through 5 sets – with all 5 being decided by tiebreakers. It’s also worth noting that both are good servers who are difficult to break. That means at least a tiebreaker or 2 can be expected, so anything other than a straight-set result should sail over this modest 36.5 number.
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