MLB Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies same game parlay (+586 odds) today 6/4: Zack Wheeler keeps it rolling at home

Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Zack Wheeler (45) throws a pitch against the San Diego Padres in the sixth inning at Citizens Bank Park.
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Keith Schmelter

MLB · 3 weeks ago

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A Bostonian with a love for stats and baseball. Using knowledge and passion to find the right bet in MLB, NBA, NFL, and more. A lover of bold sports takes and sweat free plus odds picks. Go Sox!

It was a slaughtering at Citizens Bank Park last night as the Phillies beat the Angels 10-0 and handed them their 9th consecutive loss. With a much better pitching matchup in store for Saturday night, can the Angels snap their losing streak, or will the Phillies win their 3rd game in a row?

Along with this same game parlay, be sure to check out our thoughts on the side and total for all of today’s games.

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+104) over Los Angeles Angels

Zack Wheeler over 7.5 strikeouts (-122)

No run in the 1st inning (-110)

Parlay odds: +586

Let’s take a closer look at each leg of our same game parlay.

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+104) over Los Angeles Angels

As much as this is backing the Phillies’ offense, it is also fading the Angels’ offense that has scored 3 runs in their last 4 games. Since splitting their series against the Rangers, the Angels have been swept by the Blue Jays and the Yankees and their offense has completely stopped producing. In the last 7 days the Angels have a .199 team batting average with a .273 on-base percentage along with a 25% strikeout rate. Unfortunately for Los Angeles, Zack Wheeler is on a different level when he pitches at home; his ERA drops to 1.48 and his WHIP decreases to 0.84. Philadelphia has won three of his last four starts and all three of those wins came by at least two runs. Expect Philadelphia to run up the score with Wheeler on the mound.

Be sure to check out our full game preview for the Los Angeles Angels vs Philadelphia Phillies game.

Zack Wheeler over 7.5 strikeouts (-122)

Although this is a high line, Wheeler has surpassed it in two of his last three starts. He has also recorded 7 strikeouts in four of his last six starts so it’s not like he has had an off night and records only a handful of strikeouts. As mentioned above, Wheeler is far better when he starts at home versus when he starts on the road. His 27.2% strikeout rate is solid, and his control has been better since he has allowed less walks in more innings compared to being on the road. Wheeler has been so effective this season because he has managed to avoid being barreled or hard hit at a high rate, and his filthy off-speed pitches keep hitters off balance. The ace ranks in the 92nd percentile for chase rate, so expect the Angels to be chasing his off-speed all night and for Wheeler to record at least 8 strikeouts on his home mound.

No run in the 1st inning (-110)

In nine starts this season, Wheeler has a 1.00 ERA in the first inning. He has allowed just 1 earned run in the 1st inning in 2022. As for his offense, the Phillies rank 20th in average runs in the 1st innings and have scored a run in the 1st inning just once in their last 15 games. The Angels are far better at scoring in the 1st inning but scoring a run against Wheeler in the first frame is hard to see. Los Angeles has a talented top of the order, but they won’t be able to string enough hits together to score a run before the Phillies get to bat. With the Phillies rarely scoring early in games and the Angels offense slumping hard, expect a slow start in Philadelphia.

Don’t miss our MLB parlay for tonight’s action!

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