MLB Monday parlay at mega +832 odds today 8/14: Fried bounces back against the Yankees

Max Fried of the Atlanta Braves
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Kyle Lupas


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Born and raised in Northeast Pennsylvania and a former college baseball player, I'm an avid fan and handicapper of the MLB, NBA, NFL and NCAA's. Looking to find an edge by any means necessary. A lifelong Phillies fan, I was still unable to get my learner's permit the last time they made a postseason appearance. For Kyle Lupas media enquiries, please email
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Monday offers plenty of excitement as we get 18 teams in action.  We start the day in Miami and close things out in San Francisco with a game between the Giants and Rays. I’ve studied the slate and picked my 3 favorite MLB bets for a +832 payout with this MLB mega parlay at FanDuel Sportsbook. Let’s take a closer look at this parlay and be sure to read the entire article for my reasoning and analysis for each individual leg. Also, don’t forget to check out our MLB predictions for every game today.

Braves -1.5 (-102)

Orioles ML (+120)

Giants ML (+114)

MLB parlay odds: +832

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Atlanta Braves -1.5 over New York Yankees (-102)

The New York Yankees blew a 5-run lead heading into the bottom of the eighth inning yesterday against the Miami Marlins and are still sitting at the bottom of the AL East standings. Despite that, New York still has an outside chance at the Wild Card but will have to start piling together some wins. Unfortunately for the Yankees, I don’t think that happens today against Max Fried and the Atlanta Braves. Fried will be making his third start since missing 3 months with a left forearm strain and owns a 2.50 ERA across 7 outings on the year. The left-hander was phenomenal in his first start back, tossing 6.0 scoreless innings against the Cubs, but struggled his last time out after surrendering 4 earned runs on 6 hits. Look for Fried to bounce back against this deflated ballclub.

Clarke Schmidt takes the ball for the Yankees, posting a 4.23 ERA alongside a 1.29 WHIP. The numbers are respectable, but this Braves team is a different beast offensively and there are no breaks in this lineup. Atlanta is on pace to break the single-season home run record set by the Minnesota Twins in 2019 and they have 5 (possibly 6) players on pace for at least 30 homers. I think this is going to be a major issue for Schmidt considering his 42.3% hard-hit rate and .408 xSLG are the highest marks of his career. I think the Braves jump on Schmidt early and create enough separation to cover the run line.

Baltimore Orioles ML over San Diego Padres (+120)

The Baltimore Orioles own the best record in the American League and were awfully impressive over the weekend after taking 2 out of 3 on the road against a Seattle Mariners team that had won 8 consecutive games. Now the Orioles travel to San Diego to take on an ice-cold Padres team that has dropped 6 of their last 7 games. The Padres’ lack of offense continues to haunt them as they averaged just 2.3 runs in those 6 losses and their playoff chances appear to be slim-to-none. Even with Yu Darvish on the hill tonight, the Padres aren’t the threat offensively that many thought they would be and it’s unknown if they can offer enough run support.

The Padres will go up against right-hander Grayson Rodriguez, who owns a 5.84 ERA across 15 starts. While the ERA is inflated, it’s mainly due to a rough month of May in which Rodriguez registered an 11.14 ERA in 5 outings. However, in his last 4 starts, Rodriguez has gone at least 5.2 innings and owns a 2.66 ERA. Darvish is without a doubt the more established starting pitcher in this matchup, but the Orioles have 73 wins for a reason, and I have more faith in their offense than I do with the Padres. This price is too good to pass on, so give me the O’s at plus-money odds.

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San Francisco Giants ML over Tampa Bay Rays (+114)

The San Francisco Giants welcome the Tampa Bay Rays to Oracle Park tonight and will use an opener approach when they hand the ball over to right-hander Ryan Walker. Walker has served the role of opener on 8 occasions this season and has 41.1 innings under his belt with a 2.40 ERA. Walker has been extremely efficient of late and has given up just 1 earned run in his last 10.2 innings. Walker’s hard-hit rate, xBA, xSLG, chase rate and barrel percentage all fall in the 80th percentile or better and I trust him to be efficient against a Rays lineup that’ll be without Wander Franco due to some serious allegations that have recently come to light. From there on, it’ll be the Giants’ bullpen which has been one of the best in baseball with their 3.61 ERA.

The Rays counter with Tyler Glasnow who boasts a 3.15 ERA and 1.08 WHIP across 12 starts, and an even better 1.65 ERA over his last 5 starts. The underlying metrics are also superb, with a strikeout rate and whiff rate both in the 97th percentile. Even with how effective Glasnow has been, I view this game closer to a pick ’em with the Giants playing at home, whereas the Rays had to travel all the way from Florida. I’m siding with the Giants, who have won 10 of their last 14 games at home.

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