If you aren’t interested in a bet that will take 9 innings, one of the shortest-lasting bets you can make in an MLB game is if a run will be scored in the first inning. All it takes is 6 outs to glory, and one swing of the bat can make or break your bet. There is also a lot of value in these bets because the odds are usually very well-priced, and if you’re not a fan of sweating out your bets for 3 hours then this one will take only about 15 minutes to win or lose.
Before we dive in, don’t forget to check out our free MLB picks on the side and total for every game on Monday.
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New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers: NRFI (-115)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
The Brewers are looking like a perfect NRFI team this season. They boast an awesome pitching staff with a mediocre offense, which works well for a scoreless first inning. In their 3-game series against the Cubs, the Brewers failed to score in the first frame in every contest. Game #4 of the season will have Freddy Peralta on the mound for Milwaukee, and the right-hander has been effective against the Mets in his career. The key to success against the Mets is limiting their top of the order, and that is exactly what Peralta has done. In their careers against Peralta, Brandon Nimmo is 0-for-3, Starling Marte is 2-for-7 and Francisco Lindor is 1-for-3.
Carlos Carrasco will toe the rubber for the Mets, and he will face a Brewers lineup that has underperformed thus far. In their first 3 games, the Brewers’ top 3 in the lineup have combined for 2 hits during their first at-bats of the game. They are a slow-starting offense that should struggle against Carrasco, and that should lead to a scoreless opening frame.
Check out our New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers predictions
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Cleveland Guardians vs Oakland Athletics: NRFI (-125)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
It has been a miserable start to the season at the plate for the Athletics. After 3 games, Oakland has a .178 team batting average with a .511 OPS. The A’s have only 3 runs after 3 games and have not scored before the 5th inning so far this season. I don’t expect that to change on Monday against Zach Plesac, who was solid in 2022 — especially in the first inning. Plesac allowed opponents to hit just .214 in the opening frame last year, and considering Oakland’s top 3 hitters have a combined .193 batting average so far I don’t expect them to put up much of a fight.
On the mound for the Athletics will be James Kaprielian, who had an up-and-down 2022 season. He posted a 5.09 ERA in the first half and improved to a 3.32 ERA after the all-star break. And while he had his struggles last year, one thing stayed the same. Kaprielian was always solid in the first inning throughout the season, as he had a 2.08 ERA and allowed opponents to hit just .174 in the opening frame. I’m not too worried about the Athletics at the plate, and since Kaprielian only needs 3 outs the NRFI has excellent value in Oakland.
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