The birds are chirping outside as I write this and it may be a day where the TV’s moves to the back porch. There are numerous MLB games worth watching on this beautiful Sunday and there are 3 best bets standing out to me that I want to share. Let’s dive in and take a look at my favorite betting angles for Sunday!
MLB Best Bet: Rockies vs Phillies First 5 Under 4.5 (-110)
Odds available at DraftKings sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to -125 odds.
Cristopher Sanchez should absolutely annihilate the Colorado Rockies on Sunday. The 6’6” southpaw is off to another tremendous start in 2026 for the Phillies. Sanchez has a 2.42 ERA and 2.38 FIP through his first 48.1 innings of work. Among his 8 starts, 6 have come in his home park, and he is set to make his 7th home start on Sunday. Sanchez has a 1.18 ERA in 38 home innings so far, and overall, he is sporting a 94th percentile ground ball rate. He is also earning strikeouts and avoiding free passes. Colorado has a 75 wRC+ and a 30.1% strikeout rate against southpaw pitching this season.
The price on Philadelphia is -300 or greater if you want to back them, and I am not laying significant juice on a -1.5-run line bet either. I also struggle to trust this Phillies offense that has been inconsistent. So far this season they sit 20th in wOBA with a 97 wRC+ against righties, and Tomoyuki Sugano has been solid for the Rockies. Sugano has a 3.41 ERA in his first 37 innings and a 1.69 ERA in 16 innings on the road. He isn’t my favorite pitcher to back, but he is throwing strikes and earning ground balls which should be useful in this spot with Sanchez doing the heavy lifting. I favor the under for the full game, but let’s avoid the bullpens and focus on the first 5 innings of play with this play.
MLB Best Bet: Pittsburgh Pirates ML over San Francisco Giants (+100)
Odds available at Caesars sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to -115 odds.
I favor the Pittsburgh Pirates over the San Francisco Giants on Sunday. For starters, I believe the Pirates are the better team with the more realistic postseason outlook in 2026. Secondly their offense is in far better form against right-handed pitching, ranking 7th in wOBA this season compared to the Giants ranking dead last. Lastly, Pittsburgh’s pitching situation is more enticing with a pitcher-friendly park to mask their starter’s biggest concern, and all 3 of their high leverage relief options off back-to-back days of rest.
Bubba Chandler has been the weakest part of the Pirates starting rotation in 2026. They are just 2-5 in his starts as the right-hander has posted a 4.76 ERA through his 34 innings of work. His 5.12 xERA is not an encouraging mark, but his matchup is the best get right spot in the sport right now. The Giants offense is as anemic as there is currently, and this park is designed to keep the ball in the park. Chandler should be focused on pounding the zone and letting his stuff eat in his pitcher-friendly situation.
Tyler Mahle has a 5.00 ERA and 4.67 xERA in his first 36 innings this season. Like Chandler, Mahle has been issuing too many free passes, and Pittsburgh has been a very patient lineup. Pittsburgh averages the 8th most pitches per plate appearance as a team and they have the 5th highest walk rate against right-handed pitching. That combined with Mahle’s 19th percentile whiff rate, and I expect another strong offensive outing from this Pirates lineup that has feasted on low strikeout rate arms.
MLB Best Bet: Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) under 2.5 earned runs allowed (+100)
Odds available at DraftKings sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to -120 odds.
Eduardo Rodriguez balled out in the World Baseball Classic, and he has carried that momentum into the 2026 MLB regular season for Arizona. The veteran southpaw was a disappointment for the Diamondbacks in 2024 and 2025, posting ERA’s above 5 in each season after signing a massive contract. Through 7 starts spanning 39.2 innings in 2026 E-Rod has a 2.50 ERA, however. Rodriguez has some underlying numbers that suggest regression, but this is a matchup I am more than willing to back him in.
His 4.42 FIP and 4.71 xERA are truly worrisome marks for his season-long outlook, but his confidence is currently sky-high after 7 shutout innings against the Pirates his last time out. Rodriguez feasted on a Pirates offense that has struggled against left-handed pitching, ranking 17th in wOBA with an 87 wRC+. Now he gets a Mets lineup ranking 28th in wOBA with a wRC+ of 79 against lefties. E-Rod also found success in this matchup already, tossing 6 innings of 1-run ball on April 9 against the Mets in New York. This time he gets them at home where he’s posted a 1.89 ERA in 19 innings of work.
New York has faced 9 southpaw starting pitchers this season with 7 of them allowing 2 or fewer earned runs. Rodriguez has achieved that feat in 5 of his first 7 trips to the mound this season. Arizona also has a decently rested bullpen behind him so he shouldn’t be overextended with his leash for any reason. Until New York can prove their worth against left-handed pitching this is an attractive spot to pick on.
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