Filip Tomic
NBA
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The best team in the Western Conference is trying to get out of a 3-game losing streak, but it won’t be easy as they head north of the border to face the Toronto Raptors. Catch the game live at 7:30 pm ET on NBA TV and I have also prepared a Same Game Parlay for this clash, which is available below.
We also have picks on the side and total for all 8 Tuesday games; simply visit our NBA predictions page to see them.
Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!
Nikola Jokic to record 12+ rebounds (-175)
Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 made threes (-162)
Pascal Siakam to score 20+ points (-185)
OG Anunoby 2+ made threes (-250)
Parlay odds: +452
Nikola Jokic to record 12+ rebounds (-175)
There has been a lot of noise surrounding Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets lately, especially with them currently being on a 3-game losing streak. Prior to the last 3 games, Jokic seemed to be the runaway favorite to land his 3rd straight MVP award, but with the ascent of Joel Embiid’s play and the Nuggets struggles, some people are questioning his case now. Time for the big fella to respond in a big way. He is averaging 14.6 rebounds per game in his last 10 outings, while in 8 of those games he’s cleared this line fairly easily. In the game against the Raptors a little over a week ago he finished with 13 boards, for his career in 15 games he’s averaging 11.1 rebounds against them. Toronto isn’t exactly what you’d call an elite rebounding team; it is ranked only 18th in the NBA averaging 50.8 boards a night, and that number is down significantly over the last 3 games to just 44.7 a game.
Our NBA Tuesday mega parlay has +1831 odds!
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Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 made threes (-162)
With the news of Jamal Murray possibly missing tonight’s game, the likes of Aaron Gordon and Michael Porter Jr.’s roles will increase on offense. Porter Jr. has been very consistent in games against the Raptors, scoring 19, 23 and 20 points in the last 3 meetings while also making 5, 3 and 4 threes during that stretch on over 50% of makes from deep. This is a good spot to bet on him, as Toronto is one of the worst home teams when it comes to defending the 3-ball. Opponents are averaging 37.4% of makes at Scotiabank Arena this season. In his last 10 games overall, Porter Jr. is averaging 3.1 makes from the perimeter on almost 45% shooting. With consistency like that, I have no fear of him reaching 3 threes tonight.
Pascal Siakam to score 20+ points (-185)
In his last 10 games he’s averaging 20.5 points per game, which is slightly below his season average of 24.4. But judging by his recent games against the Nuggets, he should be in line for a solid game. He is averaging 25 per game against Denver in the last 5 H2H, going over 30 points twice and clearing this line in 3 games. Denver has struggled with guarding opposing wings this season. In the Nuggets’ 3 latest games we saw Mikal Bridges score 25, Keldon Johnson 23 and Zach LaVine 29. Siakam’s length is a problem for opposing defenses on a nightly basis, with Nuggets now in scramble mode after 3 straight defeats I think he’ll be able to have a solid 20-point game.
OG Anunoby 2+ made threes (-250)
Anunoby will try to make the most out of Denver’s recent struggles defending 3-point land. The Nuggets have allowed 37.6% of makes over their last 3 games — a significant increase compared to their season average of 34.8%, which ranks 5th in the NBA. On the road, the Nuggets’ perimeter defense is average at best. That’s music to the ears of Anunoby, who is averaging 44.1% of makes from beyond the arc in his last 5 games. He has cleared this line in all but 1 of those games, while against the Nuggets 8 days ago he went 3-for-6 from downtown. He has faced them 9 times in his career; in 7 of those games he had at least 2 threes and he’s making them at a 46% clip. Back Anunoby to have a solid shooting night.
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