Filip Tomic
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The defending champion Warriors are back in the playoff hunt, having won 3 games in a row, and tonight they are headed to Dallas for a date with Luka Doncic and his Mavericks. Catch the game live starting at 7:30 pm ET on TNT. I have also prepared a Same Game Parlay to spice things up.
Visit our NBA Predictions page for picks on the side and total for tonight’s 3-game slate.
Let’s dive into the Warriors vs Mavericks match-up now.
Andrew Wiggins Over 2.5 threes (+130)
Luka Doncic Over 8.5 assists (+104)
Draymond Green Over 6.5 assists (-142)
Same Game Parlay odds: +657
Andrew Wiggins Over 2.5 threes (+130)
I was surprised to see such good value on this bet considering just how well Wiggins has been playing lately. He is currently on a run of 6 games in a row making at least 3 threes, and in 2 of those games he nailed 6 of them at the expense of Houston and the Clippers. The Warriors are playing a team similar to the Clippers tonight; the Mavs like to slow things down pace-wise, so hopefully Wiggins can take advantage. His 3-point percentage has gone up to 47.7% over the past 10 games, and on the road he is making exactly 3 threes per game while shooting a better percentage than at Chase Center. In order to beat a defensively talented team like Dallas, the Warriors will need multiple options on offense in addition to Stephen Curry. Wiggins is 2nd on the team in scoring and has been a reliable option all season long.
Check out our Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Picks
Luka Doncic Over 8.5 assists (+104)
You don’t normally see a Doncic-led team lose 4 in a row, but that’s where the Mavs are right now. It’s not Doncic’s fault; he has been averaging over 30 points and 8.4 assists per game over his last 9 appearances. He has also cleared this line in 3 straight while coming off a 12-assist night in the loss at Milwaukee. The last time he faced Golden State he finished with 41 points, 10 rebounds and 9 assists; a similar effort tonight will be needed if the Mavs are to end their skid. Role players tend to play a lot better at home than on the road, so I’m expecting the likes of Dinwiddie, Wood, Hardaway Jr. and Finney-Smith to step up as Doncic dishes out some assists.
Tuesday’s NBA mega parlay is available at +670 odds!
Draymond Green Over 6.5 assists (-142)
One of the main reasons why the Mavs have lost their last 4 games has been their inability to stop the opposing team’s ball movement. Over their last 3 games they are allowing 25.7 assists per game and in their last game vs Milwaukee they allowed 28, which ended in a 9-point loss. As currently constructed, I don’t see anyone on the Mavericks roster being able to hold his ground against the combination of speed and agility Green has on offense. In his last 3 visits to American Airlines Center he has recorded 4, 15 and 15 assists. With Golden State averaging 35 assists per game in its last 3 games (the 2nd-best team averages 28.3), it’s pretty clear they will continue playing in the same manner to get the best possible result out of tonight’s game. Green has cleared this line in 7 of his last 9 games.
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