NBA Mavericks vs Timberwolves Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks: Luka Doncic puts up numbers in Game 1 at +413 odds

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Filip Tomic


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Long-time NBA fan, following the game closely for 21 years now. Joined the Pickswise writing staff for the 2020-21 season and have given out winning picks since. Hopefully we can make some money together! Oh, and I firmly believe Lebron James is not one of the two best basketball players of all time. Yeah, I said it. For Filip Tomic media enquiries, please email
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The NBA Eastern Conference Finals are underway after Boston defeated Indiana in Game 1 on Tuesday and now it’s time for the Mavericks and Timberwolves to tip off their Western Conference Finals series as well. Game 1 of the WCF begins tonight at 8:30 pm ET on TNT and I’ve pieced together my Mavericks vs Timberwolves Same Game Parlay picks for the big matchup. You can also find out our NBA picks on the side and total for every game of the Mavericks vs Timberwolves and Pacers vs Celtics series, but for now, let’s get into our Mavs vs T-Wolves Same Game Parlay.

Luka Doncic to score 30+ points (+105)

Naz Reid to score 10+ points (-120)

Karl-Anthony Towns over 1.5 made threes (-184)

Mavericks vs Timberwolves Same Game Parlay odds: +413

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Luka Doncic to score 30+ points (+105)

For the 13th game this postseason, Luka Doncic is listed as questionable to play as he continues to recover from knee and ankle injuries. This has somewhat limited his productivity to 27.3 points per game, which is very modest by his standards. The extra couple of days in between games should do him well here though as the Mavs ended their series slightly earlier than the Timberwolves did. Luka dominated this matchup during the regular season, averaging 36.5 points per game on almost 51% from the field and 37% from three. Yes, the postseason is very different, but I still expect Luka to show up on the biggest stage. He averaged 32 points per game in his only other Western Conference series when the Mavs played Golden State back in 2022. It goes without saying that Dallas is not going to the NBA Finals without a monster series from Doncic.

Read our full Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 1 predictions

Naz Reid to score 10+ points (-120)

Naz Reid’s popularity in Minnesota has reached mythical heights, and for good reason. He’s provided the team with instant offense off the bench in both series so far, averaging 10.4 points per game, while making key baskets whenever needed. He had 4 really good regular-season games against Dallas, averaging 15.8 points per game on 53% efficiency from the field and a staggering 56% hit rate on his three-point attempts. At 6-foot-9 and around 270 lbs, he is a matchup nightmare on most nights and I don’t think the Mavs are equipped to handle such a versatile player at the center position. After seeing him clear this line 5 times in the 7 games against Denver, I believe he’s more than capable of doing so in Game 1 of this series as well.

Karl-Anthony Towns over 1.5 made threes (-184)

It cannot be overstated how important KAT’s contribution was in that Game 7 victory at Denver on Sunday. Towns equaled his 3rd highest-scoring tally of the postseason with 32 points on an efficient 8-for-14 shooting while also collecting 12 rebounds. His efficiency from beyond the arc has been off the charts in these playoffs at 44%, an improvement of almost 3% compared to the regular season. I’m expecting a lot of pick-and-roll action between him and Conley in Game 1, which should allow Towns to get up a few shots from deep. He was a really good shooter in the 4 regular season games against Dallas, knocking down almost 42% of his attempts while averaging 21 points per game in just 29.3 minutes a night. With a trip to the NBA Finals on the line, KAT’s minutes should remain around the 35-38 mark on most nights and he has the potential to be the x-factor if the T-Wolves use him properly.

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