Filip Tomic
NBA
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We have a pair of Game 2s on Monday as the NBA Playoffs continue to roll on. Our same game parlay focuses on the Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks squaring off at 7:30 pm ET live on TNT, with the Heat looking to bounce back after Saturday’s close overtime defeat.
We also have picks on the side and total for both of tonight’s matchups, but for now, let’s focus on the Heat and Bucks.
Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 (-110)
Giannis Antetokounmpo to Score 30+ Points (+114)
Khris Middleton to Record 6+ Rebounds (-110)
Duncan Robinson Over 13.5 Points (-106)
Parlay odds: +1226
Milwaukee Bucks -4.5 (-110)
Bucks have won nine of their last 11 games, including nine straight at home. Game 1 was close, but only because the sense of urgency was high within the Bucks roster and you could see some players struggling with that. Now that they lead the series 1-0 I expect the Bucks to play much more relaxed in front of a packed home arena which should lead to better performances from Giannis and when he plays well the entire team flourishes. In head-to-head meetings, the Bucks have won three of the last four games, including two straight at home.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks.
Giannis Antetokounmpo to Score 30+ Points (+110)
The Bucks managed to win the opener, despite the fact that Giannis Antetokounmpo had a terrible game and shot 10-for-27 from the field, including 0-13 from outside the restricted zone. Antetokounmpo also went 6-for-13 on free throws, but despite all that, he still finished the game with 26 points and was Milwaukee’s second-leading scorer. We expect much better from a two-time MVP and I think it’s pretty safe to say he isn’t going to shoot 37 percent from the field in back-to-back games. He has averaged 29.4 points per game in his last eight regular-season outings.
Khris Middleton to Record 6+ Rebounds (+110)
Consistency is key when it comes to backing bets like this and Middleton has been exactly that when it comes to rebounding. In the regular season, he averaged exactly six per game and has gone over 5.5 rebounds in four of his last six outings. In three regular-season meetings against Miami, he has also averaged six per game and that’s the number he had in Game 1 as well. With Giannis concentrating more on scoring in Game 2, Middleton should have a productive night on the glass.
Duncan Robinson Over 13.5 Points (-106)
He finished the regular season by scoring Over 13.5 Points in three of his last five outings. He caught fire early in Game 1 and made three straight shots from deep scoring Miami’s first nine points. The Bucks struggled to cover the perimeter all night long and Robinson went 7-for-13 on the night to finish with 24 points. As a team, the Heat attempted 50 shots from distance and made 20 of them. Robinson has the ultimate green light when it comes to shooting and if Miami wants to keep this game close he will have to be productive once again, especially if Jimmy Butler pulls another 4-for-22 performance like in Game 1.
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