Filip Tomic
The weekend is finally here and what a night we have this Saturday in the NBA. A total of 20 teams are in action, with a couple of eye-popping games coming our way. I was just one leg away from cashing last night’s mega parlay, so I’m hoping to go one better with this one.
Check out my parlay below, but also be sure to visit our NBA predictions for picks on the spread and total for all of Saturday’s 10-game slate. Now let’s jump straight into my mega parlay.
Indiana Pacers -5.5 (-108)
Miami Heat -2.5 (-110)
Dallas Mavericks ML (+176)
NBA parlay odds: +914
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Indiana Pacers -5.5 (-108) over Detroit Pistons
We start things off in Detroit, where the 15-52 Pistons host Indiana, a team that has been on an upward trajectory for a while. Both teams last played on Thursday, so there will be no rest advantage for either side. The Pistons lost at home by 10 points to a Charlotte team that has no chance of making the postseason, while Indiana triumphed at home against Houston after OT. The Pacers are the team to back as they are still trying to make the postseason via the play-in tournament, with the Wizards just a game ahead in 10th place. Detroit was eliminated a long time ago, and the Pistons are now in full-on tank mode having lost 10 games in a row and firmly at the bottom of the East standings. Their last 5 home games have all ended in defeat, in their last 6 overall they’ve covered the spread just twice and they are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 against Central Division opponents. Tyrese Haliburton has been putting up monster numbers lately, and he should be able to dominate once again and lead the Pacers to a convincing win. Indy also won the first meeting of the season by 9 points at home.
Lock in our NBA picks for each of tonight’s games
Miami Heat -2.5 (-110) over Orlando Magic
Moving on we have the Miami Heat covering as small favorites on the road in Orlando. Just as we predicted, they split their home-and-home series against the Cavaliers with a 4-point win last night. It won’t be an easy game against their division rivals, but Miami has already won twice this season against Orlando, by 5 and 4 points, which would be enough to cover tonight’s spread. The Magic have dropped 3 straight games, all at home where they’ve fallen to 15-19 SU on the season. Over the last 10 meetings against the Heat they’ve got just 2 wins, which isn’t ideal. Having failed to cover the spread at home in their last 6 outings, this is a really good spot to back Miami, despite them playing on the second night of a back-to-back. Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro are all healthy and playing, and all 3 of them put up solid numbers last night. Don’t expect a ton of points, but the Heat should be able to win this one.
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Dallas Mavericks ML (+176) over Memphis Grizzlies
Finally, for a bit of an odds boost we have the Dallas Mavericks winning on the road in Memphis against the shorthanded Grizzlies. Neither team has been able to stay consistent over the last month or so, but I feel like the Mavericks should have the upper hand in this contest. They’ve dominated the head-to-head meetings, winning 7 of the last 10, while also covering the spread 6 times. Luka Doncic won’t be able to suit up due to a thigh injury, but that’s okay as Kyrie Irving will just take over the point-guard responsibilities. Another optimistic stat is the fact that the Mavs have gone into Memphis and won 5 times in their last 6 visits, so they clearly like playing there. The Grizzlies are 1-3 SU in their last 4 games without Ja Morant. They beat Golden State at home in their last game, but I wouldn’t put too much weight into that result as the Warriors are just a disaster on the road this season. Kyrie Irving and the Mavs could be just too hard to stop, and I’ll back them to win outright.
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