NFL Thanksgiving Same Game Parlay: Houston Texans vs. Detroit Lions (+2929)

Detroit Lions tight end T.J. Hockenson warms up before game against the Indianapolis Colts
Photo of Andrew Ortenberg

Andrew Ortenberg

NFL· 11 months ago

Show Bio

I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

The Thanksgiving NFL slate will kickoff with a matchup between two down on their luck teams as the Detroit Lions host the Houston Texans. Houston is coming off a win they desperately needed over the Patriots, while the Lions just got embarrassed by the Panthers.

It’s not exactly a marquee matchup, but there are still a bunch of interesting storylines in this game, including the familiarity between head coaches Matt Patricia and Romeo Crennel, who spent time in New England together. We’ve got plenty of thoughts on the side and total, which you can read in our game preview, but right now we’ll be talking about a same game parlay. Same game parlays from sportsbooks like FanDuel offer the possibility of some huge payouts while stacking correlated plays together.

Detroit Lions -2.5 alternate spread (+175)

T.J. Hockenson to score a touchdown (+170)

Marvin Jones over 58.5 receiving yards (-110)

Under 51.5 points (-110)

Parlay odds: +2929

I expect Detroit to win this one, which correlates nicely with the Hockenson and Jones plays. Then by throwing in the under we get a huge odds boost, when I don’t think it conflicts all that much with the other three plays.

Detroit Lions -2.5 alternate spread

I think it’s a bit ridiculous for Detroit to be a three-point underdog here at home. That would correlate to the Texans being a favorite of over a touchdown if this game were in Houston, which is absurd. There’s a lot of value in this number, as oddsmakers have overreacted to one week’s worth of results after the Lions got shut out and Houston beat a terrible Pats team. This is a perfect buy-low sell spot, and I think the Lions are a lot better than most people realize.

It also looks like they may get D’Andre Swift back from injury, which would be huge for the offense especially considering the Texans’ main weakness is their run defense. If the Lions can get Swift or Kerryon Johnson going on the ground, they’re going to win this one easily.

T.J. Hockenson to score a touchdown

If the Lions win this game, there’s a very good chance that Hockenson finds the endzone. He hasn’t scored the past two weeks, but he had a touchdown in four of his five games before that. Even last week when the Lions didn’t score a single point, he still had 68 yards, and his volume is consistent. Matthew Stafford is always looking for him in the redzone, and I like his matchup here as I don’t think any of the Texans’ linebackers can guard him in space.

Marvin Jones over 58.5 receiving yards

Jones should also be in for a big day here. While Swift may return, receivers Kenny Golladay and Danny Amendola are both going to miss the game, making Jones the top receiver in this offense. He had 51 yards last week, but again that was a game where Detroit got shut out and Stafford finished with only 178. The passing game will obviously be better than that here, and the week before Jones had 10 targets and 96 yards against Washington. He should get a lot of looks here as well, and as a deep threat he could easily cash this over on just a couple of cashes. He’s got a reception of at least 21 yards in four of his last five games.

Under 51.5 points

Just for throwing in this under we get a huge boost in the odds, when we certainly don’t need a shootout just for Jones to crack 60 yards and Hockenson to score a touchdown. It got lost in their shutout defeat, but Detroit’s defense quietly played very well against Carolina last week. The Texans’ offense only had so much success last week because they got to play New England’s sieve of a pass defense without Stephon Gilmore, and even then there were only 47 total points scored in that game. Deshaun Watson had all day to throw there, and that won’t be the case here against an improved Lions pass-rush that now has Everson Griffen helping get pressure.

Pickswise is the home of free NFL picks. Check out the latest NFL props and NFL parlays as well as expert underdog predictions and computer picks.

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$125

Bet $5, Win $125 in CASH if a TD is scored on Halloween SNF!

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make a deposit

Wager $5 that a TD will be scored in the Cowboys/Vikings Week 8 matchup

If either team scores a TD, you win $125 CASH!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on the NFL, Get $200!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $5+ on the Money Line of any NFL game

If your team wins, you will be issued a $200 free bet bonus!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Unibet

$50

Bet $5, Win $50 if Your Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with Unibet and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any NBA team to win their next game

If your team hits a 3-pointer during the game, you win a bonus $50 - regardless of the game's outcome!

Max bet $5. 21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Unibet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on the NBA, Get $200!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $5+ on the Money Line of any NBA Basketball game

If your team wins, you will be issued a $200 free bet bonus!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$5,000

Get a $5,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $5,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose - up to $5,000!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign Up Bonus with TwinSpires Racebook!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code BET200

Make a deposit and start wagering on horse racing

Earn $100 in bonus cash for every $400 wagered!

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.