NFL Week 15 money line 6-team mega parlay (+7238 odds)

Matt Ryan of the Atlanta Falcons
Photo of Andrew Ortenberg

Andrew Ortenberg

NFL · 1 year ago

Show Bio

I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

We’re back for more. After cashing our Week 13 NFL mega money line parlay at 74/1 odds, why not make it two out of three? There’s a lot to like about this Week 15 NFL card, and while you’ll of course have your regular compliment of wagers, it’s also a lot of fun to sprinkle a few bucks on a big parlay with a huge payout. While you can get our thoughts on the side and total for every Week 15 NFL game, here we’ll be picking a handful of money line spots that each present value, with a few underdogs mixed in. This week we’ve got a six-teamer for you, with a payout north of 80/1.

Denver Broncos +220

Minnesota Vikings -170

Miami Dolphins -124

San Francisco 49ers -160

Atlanta Falcons +215

Kansas City Chiefs -170

Parlay odds: +7238

I think each of these plays has standalone value, so let’s break down each of them one by one.

Denver Broncos to beat Buffalo Bills (+220)

Now is the perfect time to fade the Bills coming off their big Sunday Night Football win over the Steelers. It’s a prime letdown spot for them, and the Broncos are a lot better than most people realize. Even with all their injuries, Denver’s defense has still been playing at a really high level. They held Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs to just 22 points two weeks ago in a game they nearly one outright as two-touchdown underdogs, and then they upset the Panthers last week. Drew Lock is coming off his best game of the season, and since Buffalo often struggles to contain power running games, I think the Broncos have some success on the ground as well.

Minnesota Vikings to beat Chicago Bears (-170)

Now is also the time to fade the Bears following their victory over the Texans. Chicago is riding high, but I’m not giving them too much credit for beating a lifeless Houston team that was missing virtually all of its weapons. The Bears’ offense has looked better since Mitchell Trubisky was re-inserted, but his two good games have been against bottom-tier Texans and Lions defenses. Going up against Mike Zimmer is going to be a much tougher task for him, and I expect him to struggle. Zimmer completely dominated Matt Nagy in the first meeting between these teams, and I don’t see any reason to expect this one to be any different.

Miami Dolphins to beat New England Patriots (-125)

The Patriots just had what was essentially their Super Bowl against the Rams last week, and they fell flat on their faces. With their playoff hopes almost certainly dashed, I expect them to come out flat here. Miami lost a close one to the Chiefs last week, but they showed a lot of fight and forced Patrick Mahomes into three interception. If they can do that to Mahomes (they also made him take a 30-yard sack), I don’t think they’ll have much trouble shutting down this anemic New England offense.

San Francisco 49ers to beat Dallas Cowboys (-160)

I absolutely love the 49ers this week. The coaching mismatch here is off the charts, and Kyle Shanahan will have a field day here scheming for this pitiful Dallas defense. The Cowboys beat the Bengals last week, but only because Cincy fumbled on each of their first three possessions and I’m not getting excited about a win over Brandon Allen under any circumstances. Even in their loss last week to Washington San Francisco’s defense played really well, and they didn’t allow an offensive touchdown. Nick Mullens won’t be under the kind of pressure he was last week here, and he should play much better.

Atlanta Falcons to beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+215)

With an implied win probability of less than 33 percent, there’s a lot of value on the Falcons here. The Bucs got a desperately needed win over the Vikings last week, but they didn’t look too impressive doing it. If Dan Bailey doesn’t miss four kicks in that game, I think Minnesota emerges with the victory. Their vaunted run defense gave up 4.9 yards per rush attempt to the Vikings, and it’s clear Tampa’s defense was never as good as many hyped it up to be. The Falcons are 4-4 since firing Dan Quinn, and two of those losses were to the Saints. Atlanta’s defense has now given up 24 points or fewer in eight of their last nine games.

Kansas City Chiefs to beat New Orleans Saints (-170)

I think the Chiefs are going to dominate this late afternoon kick. New Orleans has relied on their defense to carry them in Drew Brees’ absence, but that kind of strategy isn’ workable against Mahomes. The Saints just lost to a struggling Eagles team, and their three wins with Taysom Hill have come against the Falcons twice and a Broncos team that literally didn’t have a quarterback. To say this is a step up in class would be a massive understatement, and Hill hasn’t done anything too special. There’s simply no way he’ll be able to keep pace with Mahomes.


Pickswise is the home of free NFL Predictions and NFL Odds. Check out the latest NFL Prop Bets and NFL Parlays as well as expert NFL Underdog Picks and NFL Computer Picks.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook


Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at



Bet $5+ on any Sports Pre-Game ML, Get $200 If Your Team Wins

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on the pre-game ML in any sport

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.



Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.



Get 4x $200 In Free Bets

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook


Get a $1,250 risk-free bet

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.



Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get Your First Bet Risk-Free Up To $500

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF



Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.



Get 5x $100 in Free Bets With PointsBet's Second Chance

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.



Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight


Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.



Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.



Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

Underdog Fantasy


First deposit is 100% matched up to $100 with Underdog Fantasy

Sign up for a new account with Underdog Fantasy

Make your first deposit

Every dollar (up to $100) will be matched! Deposit $25, get $50; deposit $100, get $200, etc

Must be 21+ to play. Terms & conditions apply