The Match V: Bryson DeChambeau vs Brooks Koepka – preview and best bets

Bryson DeChambeau hits a tee shot at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
Photo of Ricky Dimon

Ricky Dimon

Golf· 1 week ago

Show Bio

Since graduating from Davidson (The College That Stephen Curry Built), I have been writing about sports--just about any and all you can think of!--and coaching tennis in Atlanta, Ga. Beyond the four major sports, I am an avid tennis fan and cover the ATP Tour on a daily basis. If I'm not busy writing, you can generally find me on a tennis court or traveling the world wherever a sporting event takes me.

For the third time in the last four years, Thanksgiving week features Capital One’s The Match. The fifth installment of the The Match overall, this one pits rivals Bryson DeChambeau and Brooks Koepka against each other in a 12-hole match play showdown.

It is taking place on Friday at Wynn Golf Club in Las Vegas, starting at 4pm ET and televised on TNT (there will be simulcasts running across other Turner platforms such as TBS, truTV, and HLN).

Bryson DeChambeau player profile

DeChambeau came out of the Covid-19 hiatus last summer and took the golf world by storm. Winning the 2020 U.S. Open was the main highlight and it propelled him to No. 4 in the official world golf rankings. The 28-year-old American cooled off just a bit this past season, but he still comes at No. 7 in the rankings. DeChambeau was in the running for the top spot in the FedEx Cup Playoffs heading into The TOUR Championship but lost to Patrick Cantlay in a playoff at the BMW Championship. Cantlay went on to win the Cup, while DeChambeau finished seventh.

The Dallas, Texas resident placed in the top 8 in 3 of his last 4 events of the 2021 campaign. However, he was a disappointment at the majors (46th at the Masters, 38th at the PGA Championship, 26th at the U.S. Open, and 33rd at the British Open). The 2020 U.S. Open is his lone major victory.

Brooks Koepka player profile

Nobody is more of a major specialist than Koepka. The 31-year-old American has won 8 PGA Tour titles in his career and exactly half of them have been majors: back-to-back U.S. Opens in 2017 and 2018 plus back-to-back PGA Championships in 2018 and 2019.

Brooks Koepka hits from the sixteenth tee during the third round of the PGA Championship golf tournament.

Injuries – and to a lesser extent a lack of interest in smaller tournaments – have been the only things holding him back. Koepka’s major surge propelled him to No. 1 in the world, but he currently sits at No. 16. The Florida State product withdrew from The TOUR championship with a wrist injury and his results this fall have been uninspiring. He has missed 2 cuts in 4 stars during the fall swing and has no finish better than 38th.

Odds and best bets

Per DraftKings Sportsbook, DeChambeau is a -125 favorite to win The Match V; Koepka is a +105 underdog.

On holes 1, 2, 4, and 4, DeChambeau is a -180 favorite to hit the longest drive; Koepka is a +125 underdog. On hole 2 (a par 5), DeChambeau is +450 to make an eagle or better; Koepka is +500 on the same market and he is +115 to make exactly a birdie on the second. DeChambeau is -165 to be on the green in 2 shots on the second hole; Koepka is +250 to do so. On the par 3 third, each player is +650 to be within 5 feet of the hole with his tee shot.

Both golfers are +6500 to make a hole in one (there are 4 par 3s on the 12 holes). Any hole in one is +3500.

While the available prop bets at DraftKings are relative crapshoots, taking DeChambeau to win outright at -125 is a solid play. Although he has not yet played on the PGA Tour this fall, his late-summer stretch during the FedEx Cup Playoffs was encouraging. Koepka, on the other hand, has not been 100% from a physical standpoint (what’s new?) and his recent results have suffered as a result.

You also have to think that a match-play format favors DeChambeau. His high-risk, high-reward game can cause problems in stroke play with occasional big numbers on holes. In match play, however, it doesn’t matter if he loses a hole by one stroke or five. DeChambeau’s superior current form and propensity for low scores make him the choice.

Pickswise is the home of free expert Golf Picks and Golf Predictions. Our PGA expert picks are published every Tuesday, so check out our latest golf picks, best bets, and analysis for this week’s PGA tournament, now!

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$50

Get $50 Free - No Deposit Required!

Register for a FanDuel Sportsbook account

Receive $50 in site credits to use on Sportsbook

No Deposit Required!

Winnings paid as CASH. 21+ and new players only. Full terms available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$100

Win $100 if any team scores a point in any NFL, NBA, CFB, or CBB game!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $1+ any NFL, NBA, CFB, or CBB game Money Line

If your team wins, you will be issued a $100 free bet bonus!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,001

Get a $1,001 Free Bet!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,001

Win or lose, you'll receive a free bet matching your initial stake - up to $1,001!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$400

Get a $400 Risk-Free Bet on the Breeders' Cup!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code PICKS400

Place a bet on the Breeders' Cup

Receive a refund if your first bet loses up to $400

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.