Filip Tomic
The Denver Nuggets are hoping to go up 3-1 as they host the OKC Thunder in Game 4 of their West semi-final series. It’s an early tip-off at 3.30 pm ET on ABC, I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay priced at +353 odds with a couple of player prop bets as well as a spread prediction.
The NBA postseason is in full effect, you can get predictions on the side and total for every single game on our NBA Picks page, but now let’s get into my Thunder vs Nuggets Game 4 SGP!
DEN Nuggets +6.5 (-110)
Russell Westbrook to Score 10+ Points (-180)
Jalen Williams 2+ Made Threes (-148)
Same Game Parlay odds: +353
DEN Nuggets +6.5 (-110)
The team with the best overall record this season finds itself in a difficult situation, down 2-1 with a road game at Ball Arena on Sunday afternoon. In many ways this is a must-win game for OKC, they’ve actually done a solid job on the 3-time MVP Jokic in this series and yet they find themselves trailing after 3 games. SGA has failed to live up to his reputation, Game 3 saw him go for just 18 points on 7-for-22 shooting. Denver is now 4-2 ATS/SU in 6 meetings, but despite that they find themselves in an underdog situation for the 4th time in this series. Joker and co. won’t really care too much about that, given how this series has gone so far. It’s quite evident that OKC has more depth, but so far the experience of Denver has proven to give them the edge.
I’m willing to bet Jokic won’t go 8-for-25 from the field and 0-for-10 from three in back-to-back games, it’s been a while since we had a dominant performance from the Joker, perhaps that’s a sign of things to come on Sunday? Denver has only 1 loss in 6 home games, plus they’ve covered the spread in 5 of 7 overall. All the pressure is on OKC to respond here, going down 3-1 would put them in a really difficult situation. Denver has played well enough to make me feel comfortable backing them on a game-to-game basis in this series. With an improved Jokic game there’s no way they are losing by more than 6 points here. Back the home team to cover.
Check out our full Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Game 4 Predictions
Russell Westbrook to Score 10+ Points (-180)
Slowing down Jokic has come at a cost for the Thunder, the Nuggets role players have played extremely well in this series and one of them is certainly Russell Westbrook. In the 9 postseason games the former Thunder guard is averaging 14.2 points per game, essentially being the only reliable scoring option off the bench for head coach Adelman. Not only that, Russ is able to play 30+ minutes on any given night, he is a freak athlete even at this stage of his career. Only twice so far this postseason he has failed to score in double-figures, role players generally play better at home so I’m expecting a lot more from him after an 8 point performance in Game 3. In 10 meetings with his former team he’s averaging 12.8 points per game, if the Nuggets can squeeze out a vintage performance out of Westbrook they could potentially steal Game 4 and go up 3-1 in the series.
Jalen Williams 2+ Made Threes (-148)
We’ve heard for so long that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the lone offensive weapon that the Thunder have and how he isn’t getting enough help in moments like these. Well, Jalen Williams is making sure that is no longer the narrative and he’s doing a really solid job this postseason run. In the 7 postseason games so far he’s averaging 22.6 points per game on over 49% from the field and he’s also making 1.6 threes per game. He’s cleared this line in 5 of 7 games, including 2 of the 3 games in the Nuggets series. He’s coming off a postseason high with 32 points in Game 3, the Thunder might need him to go for another 30 point game if they want to avoid going down 3-1 here. One of the reasons why I like him to connect on a pair of threes here is the fact that Denver allows the 2nd most threes this season to opposing small forwards. He’s cleared this line in 6 of 10 games, make it 7 of 11 on Sunday.
