UFC 268 predictions: Four-fight parlay (+595 odds)

Mar 30, 2019; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Justin Gaethje celebrates his win over Edson Barboza (not pictured) during UFC Fight Night at Wells Fargo Arena. Gaethje won the fight.
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Matthew Lowrimore

UFC· 3 weeks ago

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Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

UFC 268 takes place on Saturday at Madison Square Garden. The card will feature a middleweight title fight as the main event and a Women’s strawweight title fight as the Co-Main Event.

Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for UFC 268 that pays at odds of +595. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC 268 predictions for the full 14-fight card.

Kamaru Usman ML (-320) vs Colby Covington

As tempting as Colby Covington is in this fight, Kamaru Usman just looks to be too strong. He has controlled almost every fight he has been in and is far too balanced to fade. Usman has won his fights by a variety of methods, so backing him on the money line, even at a high price, looks to be a solid play.

Rose Namajunas ML (+100) vs Weili Zhang

Rose Namajunas comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-4. She is 8-3 in the UFC and is coming off a title fight win against Zhang by TKO/KO. Namajunas is averaging 4.13 significant strikes per minute and is landing them 40% of the time. She is absorbing 3.99 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. Her grappling is decent as well, averaging 1.89 takedowns per every 15 minutes. She has a takedown accuracy of 53% and a takedown defense of 50%.

The last fight between them was a wild one in April and Namajunas surprised a lot of people by knocking out Zhang. Even knowing how good Zhang has been, she did not have an answer for Namajunas’ power and this fight could result in a similar result. Namajunas looks to be undervalued considering she is the one holding the belt. For that reason, backing Namajunas to retain her title looks to be a solid play.

Justin Gaethje vs Michael Chandler – Fight to end by TKO/KO (-225)

This is a fight that looks like it will be fast-paced and wild. Justin Gaethje has seen 7 of his 8 UFC fights end by TKO/KO, while 3 of Michael Chandler’s 4 UFC fights have done the same. Even though Chandler has shown the ability to grapple, expect this fight to stay standing and for there to be some massive blows. For that reason, backing this fight to end by TKO/KO looks to be a solid play.

Alex Pereira win by finish (-120) vs Andreas Michailidis

Alex Pereira comes into this fight with an MMA record of 3-1. This will be his UFC debut. All 3 of his career wins have come by TKO/KO and they have all been before the third round. The only blemish on his record was a submission loss, but that was in his first professional fight back in 2015.

Backing Pereira at a huge price in his UFC debut is unappealing, but backing the underdog also feels too risky. Because Andreas Michailidis has suffered all his defeats by TKO/KO, backing Pereira to win this fight by a finish will be the play.

Pickswise is the home of free UFC Predictions and UFC Picks. Our expert UFC handicappers bring you the best bets from the top UFC and UFC Fight Night cards.

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