UFC 300: Alex Pereira vs. Jamahal Hill predictions & four-fight parlay (+453 odds): Women's Strawweight Title Decided Late

Jun 12, 2022; Singapore, SIN; Zhang Weili (red gloves) reacts after the fight against Joanna Jedrzejczyk (blue gloves) during UFC 275 at Singapore Indoor Stadium.
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Matthew Lowrimore


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Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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UFC 300 takes place on Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a light heavyweight title fight between Alex Pereira and Jamahal Hill as the Main Event and a women’s strawweight title fight between Zhang Weili and Yan Xiaonan as the Co-Main Event. Here is our favorite 4-fight parlay for this UFC card, which will include 2 fights on the Main Card and 2 fights on the Preliminary Card.

Here is my favorite UFC parlay for this card, with odds of +453 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the Main Card fights.

Zhang Weili vs. Yan Xiaonan – Over 3.5 Rounds (-150)

The Co-Main Event at UFC 300 will see Zhang Weili take on Yan Xiaonan in the UFC Women’s Strawweight division and will be for the Women’s Strawweight title.

Zhang Weili is the clear favorite in this fight considering that she is holding the title. That said, backing her on the money line is far too risky. Instead, we will be looking for this fight to go over 3.5 rounds. Weili has only ever lost one fight by finish, while Xiaonan has only lost twice by finish.  Because of this, we expect this fight to go at least deep into the fourth round. For that reason, backing this fight to go over 3.5 rounds will be our play.

Charles Oliveira vs. Arman Tsarukyan – Fight to Start Round 2 (-200)

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 300 will see Charles Oliveira take on Arman Tsarukyan in the UFC Lightweight division.

Arman Tsarukyan is the heavy favorite; therefore, we will instead be looking at a round prop. Charles Oliveira has seen 5 of his last 7 fights start round 2, while Tsarukyan has seen 4 of his last 5 fights start round 2. Because of that, backing this fight to also start round 2 will be our lean.

Aleksander Rakic vs. Jiri Prochazka – Fight to go the Distance – No (-225)

Aleksander Rakic is a very small favorite in this fight, but instead of backing either fighter on the money line, we will be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. Rakic has seen 12 of his 17 career fight end inside the distance, while Jiri Prochazka has seen 31 of his 33 career fights end by finish as well. Because both fighters have a high finish rate, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.

Aljamain Sterling ML over Calvin Kattar (-175)

Aljamain Sterling comes into this fight with an MMA record of 23-4 and he is 15-4 in the UFC. Sterling is averaging 4.73 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. He is absorbing 2.41 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. Sterling is also known for his grappling ability, averaging 1.97 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 24% and his takedown defense is 45%.

Sterling is the heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the right side. Calvin Kattar is just 1-3 in his last 4 UFC fights, while Sterling has the clear advantage in grappling and absorbs far less damage. On top of that, Sterling is 9-1 in his last 10 UFC fights. Because of that, backing Sterling to win will be our play.

You can also read our expert’s UFC 300 best bets

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