UFC 328 takes place on Saturday at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey, featuring a Middleweight title fight between Khamzat Chimaev and Sean Strickland as the main event and a Flyweight title fight between Joshua Van and Tatsuro Taira as the co-main event. Here are our UFC 328 best bets, which will include 2 fights on the main card, with odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC 328 main card fights scheduled for Saturday, April 11th, 206.
UFC 328 best bet: Waldo Cortes-Acosta ML over Alexander Volkov (+145)
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC 328 will see Alexander Volkov take on Waldo Cortes-Acosta. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Volkov enters this fight with an MMA record of 39-11 and 13-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.78 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 57%. Volkov absorbs 2.86 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling is only decent, averaging 0.57 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 66% and a takedown defense of 68%.
Cortes-Acosta enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-2 and 10-2 in the UFC. He averages 5.55 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Cortes-Acosta absorbs 3.53 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling is decent at best, averaging 0.35 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 72%.
Volkov is the significant favorite in this fight; however, Cortes-Acosta looks to be the best betting option. Cortes-Acosta is 8-1 over his last 9 UFC fights, while Volkov is 6-3 over the same stretch. Further, Cortes-Acosta has the advantage in striking volume and has won by KO/TKO in three consecutive UFC fights. Given this, backing Cortes-Acosta to win will be our best bet.
You can also find out our UFC 328 parlay picks for Saturday night’s action
UFC 328 prediction: Sean Brady vs. Joaquin Buckley – Fight to go the Distance (-125)
The second fight on the Main Card at UFC 328 will see Sean Brady take on Joaquin Buckley. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Brady enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-2 and 8-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.96 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. Brady is absorbing 3.05 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. Brady also has elite grappling, averaging 3.53 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 53% and a takedown defense of 86%.
Buckley enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-7 and 11-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.88 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 36%. Buckley is absorbing 2.93 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.54 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 45% and a takedown defense of 72%.
While Brady is the heavy favorite, we will instead be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. Brady has seen 6 of his last 8 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Buckley has seen 5 of his last 8 UFC Fights do the same. They both have proven to have elite power, plus Brady is an elite grappler and has been known to force submissions. Given this, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our best bet.
Check out the rest of our UFC picks for every main card fight at UFC 328!
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