UFC Fight Night 185 predictions, picks, best bets and four-fight parlay

Aleksei Oleinik celebrating win
Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore

UFC· 1 year ago

Show Bio

Matthew has been with Pickswise for over a year now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passion is college football and that is the sport he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will do everything he can to make his readers money.

We are back in Las Vegas this week for UFC Fight Night 185. Our event this week will feature a Heavyweight fight for the Main Event. There are some huge favorites among this event, so looking for a parlay could be the best way to find the most value.

Here is our favorite four-fight parlay that pays at odds of +672. Be sure to check out the rest of our UFC Fight Night 185 predictions for the full 15-fight card.

Drako Rodriguez Money Line (-196)

Drako Rodriguez comes into fight with an MMA record of 7-1. He is 1-0 in the UFC, though this will be his official UFC debut after his last win came in the Dana White Contender Series. Rodriguez is going to look to take this fight to the ground. He is averaging 6.34 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 6.3 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 100 percent, so I expect him to dominate on the mat.

Aiemann Zahabi’s last fight was back in May of 2019, so it is quite possible that he is going to be rusty. His grappling could be an issue, seeing that he is averaging 0.36 takedowns per every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is only 16 percent, but his takedown defense is 72 percent.

Rodriguez is already proving to be an exciting prospect and I think he is going to be able to get the job done here. His takedown ability is likely going to be the difference, so I will back Rodriguez on the money line.

Jamall Emmers Money Line (-230)

Chas Skelly comes into this fight having not fought since September of 2019. His grappling is decent, averaging 1.71 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 2.4 submission attempts during the same time period. Though his takedowns accuracy is only 34 percent and his takedown defense is 33 percent.

Jamall Emmers most recently earned his first UFC win against Vince Cachero back in August of 2020. Emmers is averaging 5.75 significant strikes per minute, landing them with an accuracy of 52 percent.  He is averaging 2.90 takedowns per every 15 minutes, landing them 53 percent of the time. More importantly, he defends takedowns 100 percent of the time in the UFC.

The long layoff for Skelly would keep me off his side. Emmers show some of his potential in his previous fight and I believe he will be too balanced here. As a result, backing Emmers on the money line would be my play.

Aleksei Oleinik Money Line (+160)

It is pretty amazing to think that Aleksei Oleinik has this many fights in MMA and is still going strong. He did lose his most recent fight to Derrick Lewis by KO/TKO, his eighth loss by this method in his career. Considering his nickname is the “Boa Constrictor”, Oleinik will be looking to take this fight to the ground. He is averaging 2.43 takedowns per every 15 minutes and is landing them 48 percent of the time.

Oleinik’s chin is certainly a concern in this fight, especially seeing how fast he dropped against Lewis. I do think Oleinik is going to have success grappling and because Daukaus has not been tested on the mat, I am backing Oleinik to win in an upset.

Ketlan Vieira Money Line (-270)

Ketlan Vieira most recently beat Sijara Eubanks by unanimous decision back in October of 2020. She is now 5-1 in the UFC and is averaging 3.10 significant strikes per minute. Her grappling will be huge here, as she averages 2.02 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 52 percent, but her takedown defense is 92 percent.

Vieira’s ability to defend takedowns is likely going to be the difference in this fight. I believe she has the skills to control this fight both on the ground and standing up. Because of that, I will back her on the money line.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $5, Win $150 on either NYY or CWS to win the Sunday Night Baseball matchup (30-1 Odds)!

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Place a $5 bet on the Yankees or White Sox to win the Sunday Night Baseball matchup

If your teams, get 30-1 odds and win $150!

Must be 21 years or over to participate. Reward paid in site credit. Offer valid for new players only. Full terms available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on Any MLB Game, Get $200 if Your Team Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $200 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If ANY NBA Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NBA game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game makes a 3-pointer

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$150

Bet $5 on any NBA team, Get $150 in Free Bets if they win!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any team to win an NBA playoff game

Win $150 in free bets if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If A Goal Is Scored In ANY NHL Game!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NHL game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game scores a goal

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,100

Get up to $1,100 in First Bet Insurance!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.